Public debt levels have significant implications for the stability of public finances and the economy as a whole. While government debt can be raised for financing current expenditures or investing in physical capital, it comes with a cost in the form of interest payments and should be based on the objective appraisal of economic capacity gaps, infrastructural development needs and sectoral/social priorities as well as a prudent assessment of costs and benefits.
In 2017, the government gross debt in OECD countries amounted to 110% of GDP on average. The average level of government gross debt level increased in OECD countries by 37.3 p.p. between 2007 and 2017. This rise is explained by the economic slowdown, expansionary countercyclical fiscal policy, as well as exceptional rescue operations of financial institutions that prevailed in many countries until the early 2010s. On the other hand, Estonia (13%) and Chile (29.6%) reported the lowest debt levels in 2017.
The largest increases in gross debt growth occurred in Greece (75.9 p.p.) and Spain (72.8 p.p.) from 2007 to 2017. In the case of Greece, debt is stabilising as the government has achieved significant primary surpluses over the past couple of years. However, reducing debt levels will require additional reforms to boost GDP growth, maintaining large, but realistic primary surpluses and additional debt restructuring, e.g. by locking in at currently low interest rates (OECD 2018a). In Spain, public debt is falling, as evidenced by the 1.3 p.p. reduction between 2018 and 2017; recent improvements are due to favourable economic conditions. However, as the recovery continues, the government should stick to medium-term fiscal targets to ensure a durable reduction of public debt (OECD 2018b).
Per capita government gross debt has increased at an annual rate of 5% since 2007 across OECD countries reaching USD 53 641 PPP on average in 2017. Still, in the past few years the trend is slowly reverting as shown by the average decrease of the debt-to-GDP ratio of 2.2 p.p. in 2017 as compared to 2016. Most government gross debt in OECD countries is held in debt securities (83.0%), followed by loans (8.6%).