This analysis then explores to what degree popular satisfaction in France, Germany and the United Kingdom maps onto actual generosity and coverage of social programme benefits and services in those countries. This analysis finds that the relationship between actual social benefits (across different programmes) and perceptions of the welfare state is inconsistent. For example, French respondents have the relatively lowest satisfaction with pensions (17% expect their pensions would offer adequate income support), yet France has the highest pension entitlements across the three countries. France performs relatively well on most public health indicators in this paper, yet only 34% of French respondents are satisfied with access to good-quality and affordable healthcare (compared with 47% in Germany and 43% in the United Kingdom). Results are more nuanced in areas like education, family support, and employment services, where countries have relative strengths and weaknesses across the policy indicators (Chapter 2).
In France, per capita spending on social programmes (in real terms) stagnated in multiple policy areas for the past decade or longer (e.g. in housing, long term care for the elderly, and incapacity-related needs), while it has increased significantly in Germany in some areas, namely family support and incapacity-related benefits. These patterns are indicative of a more stagnant policy commitment in France and may contribute to broader dissatisfaction with social protection in France, but are unlikely to explain the large cross-country differences in satisfaction entirely.
An analytical approach to assess attitudes towards social protection confirms that French respondents have a much lower-than-expected level of satisfaction with social protection than respondents in other countries, relative to actual benefit levels and coverage (the approach is an adaptation of (Inglehart et al., 2008[1])). While the magnitude of this result is sensitive to model specifications, the large difference in France compared to Germany and the United Kingdom offers additional evidence that the shape and size of the French welfare state does little to influence attitudes, vis-à-vis outcomes in other countries.