For many OECD countries, the scale of emergency spending to support households and businesses early in the pandemic was the largest in peacetime history. At the same time, national legislatures, which would normally be responsible for scrutinising fiscal responses, faced operational constraints and health-related shutdowns, with some governments enacting emergency protocols to bypass them completely. Independent fiscal institutions (IFIs) stepped up to provide vital analysis for policy makers and those who hold them accountable, playing a crucial role in supporting sound fiscal policy in the face of these challenges. For many IFIs, most of which were established following the global financial crisis, this was their first real test.
IFIs in the OECD’s Network of Parliamentary Budget Officials and Independent Fiscal Institutions took three main actions during the early months of the crisis (Table 5.8). First, 33 of the 35 national IFIs in the network (94%) published rapid analyses of the economic and budgetary impact of the pandemic. This included independent checks of government planning assumptions (22 out of 35, 63%), drafting self-initiated briefing notes (21 out of 35, 60%), preparing economic and fiscal scenario analyses (17 out of 35, 49%), updating forecasts of the economy and public finances in real time (14 out of 35, 40%), and fulfilling requests for analysis from committees and individual legislators (10 out of 35, 29%). In many cases, IFIs were the only source of analysis, with governments either focused on fast responses or reluctant to publish analyses given the uncertainty of a rapidly evolving situation. Second, 16 out of 35 (46%) IFIs in the OECD’s network have a role in monitoring or authorising the activation of escape clauses to suspend fiscal rules. By mid-May, they had made public pronouncements on escape clauses to allow flexible responses to the pandemic. Third, IFIs also have a role in costing emergency legislation, either in an official capacity, upon request by legislators, or as self-initiated scrutiny of official figures. All IFIs in the network with such a role (14 out of 35, 40%) performed it during the first months of the crisis to help governments and legislatures come to terms with the magnitude of policy responses.
In addition to these activities, all the IFIs fulfilled their main responsibility of promoting transparency and accountability throughout the crisis. They supported legislatures by calling attention to executive overreach and urging them to find digital ways to hold committee meetings. They also drew attention to missing information in government plans and in some cases went as far as publishing their own interactive summaries of government announcements where governments had failed to do so (OECD, 2020a).
As governments start introducing policies to repair their battered economies and return their budgets to their medium-term strategic objectives, IFIs will continue to play a critical role in supporting the policy debate, identifying risks to the public finances and assisting governments and legislatures in their efforts to keep public finances on a sustainable path.