The Kingdom of Thailand has made remarkable economic development visible through energy, transport and tourism sectors. Strong growth since the 1970s enabled the country to join the group of upper-middle-income economies in the early 2010s. Thailand aims to become high-income economy by 2037 enjoying “Security, Prosperity and Sustainability” according to its 2017 National Strategy Preparation Act. Therefore, Thailand is striving for enhancing its economic competitiveness and social advancement to become one of the leading countries in South East Asia (OECD, 2019[1]).
Effective water resources management - including flood control, irrigation and water supply - is a condition for economic success and the ambitious vision can be jeopardised by Thailand’s increasing water insecurity. Growing population, economic growth, rapid urbanization and the looming threats posed by climate change are expected to make sustainable water management significantly more difficult in the coming years. By 2030, Thailand’s population is projected to reach about 71–77 million, with an increasing proportion living in urban areas (The World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank, 2021[2]). In 2020, the urbanisation rate reached 51.43% of the total population, showing a change of life pattern leading to an increase in water demand (Ta and Watershed, 2008[3]). Thailand’s economy is 90% based on the industrial and service sector, with the agricultural sector accounting for only 10%, but representing 33% of the workforce (The World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank, 2021[2]). Water productivity is low in all sectors in Thailand, but in particular in agriculture (where it is almost nil); as comparison the industry sector reaches around 60 USD per m3 (Chokchai , and Sucharit, 2019[4]). The Eastern area is the second area with the highest water productivity for all sector 12.73 USD per m3, however being almost 5 time lower than Bangkok region (Chokchai , and Sucharit, 2019[4]). In addition, in the Eastern area, the industry sector has the highest water productivity rate of the country, namely 76.41 USD per m3.
Thailand is recognised as highly vulnerable to climate variability and change due to increasing natural hazards, such as heavy rainfall, floods, and droughts. In addition, sea level rise affects the country’s coasts. The country ranked in the 31th position in National Water Security Index among 49 Asian and Pacific countries mainly due to a low water urban security and high climatological risks (Asian Development Bank, 2020[5]). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports that global sea level rise associated with climate change is expected to be between 8 - 16 mm/year in the 21st century. Due to global climate change, sea level in the inner part of the Gulf of Thailand is expected to increase in the future. The increase in wind speed, and especially of the monsoons that blow into the Gulf of Thailand, adds to the rising sea level. (The World Bank Group, 2021[6]).
Several water challenges coexist such as competitive increase in water demand in agriculture, industry and service sector, deterioration of water quality due to increasing pollutants, deepening damage from floods and droughts due to climate change, and management of rivers and aquifers shard across regions.
Floods are by far the greatest natural hazard facing Thailand in terms of economic and human impacts. Thailand is cited as one of the ten most flood-affected countries in the world. Drought and cyclone impacts also represent major hazards. All may intensify in future climate scenarios. The number of people affected by an extreme river flood could grow by over 2 million by 2035–2044, and coastal flooding could affect a further 2.4 million people by 2070–2100. Projections suggest that Thailand’s agriculture sector could be significantly affected by a changing climate, due to its location in the tropics where agricultural productivity is particularly vulnerable to temperature rises (The World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank, 2021[2]).
The long-term forecast for the Eastern region indicates that the area is exposed and vulnerable to climate change. Rising sea levels can also introduce new, or exacerbate existing, saltwater intrusion into freshwater resources. Both groundwater and surface water sources are at risk (Petpongpan, Ekkawatpanit and Kositgittiwong, 2020[7]).
Thailand is focusing its adaptation efforts in key sectors such as energy, water, transportation, agriculture, human settlements and public health, according to the submitted the Third National Communication to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in 2018, its Initial Nationally Determined Contribution in 2016 and its Updated Nationally Determined Contribution in 2020 (The World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank, 2021[2]).