In Lithuania, as in other OECD countries, megatrends such as digitalisation, globalisation, demographic change and climate change are transforming jobs and the way society functions and people interact. There are many consequences of these megatrends in Lithuania, including workers facing relatively high risks of job automation, employers often struggling to find the skills they need, and productivity becoming a more important driver of economic prosperity. The COVID‑19 crisis commencing in 2020 has accelerated the digitalisation of learning and work, disrupted several economic sectors, and risks increasing inequalities in education and labour markets in Lithuania. Although the economic contraction of 2020 was relatively mild following major fiscal and financial measures, unemployment rose more starkly, with youth unemployment (15‑24 year olds) reaching 28% in November 2020. While the OECD forecasts economic growth in 2021 and 2022, unemployment is expected to remain above pre‑crisis levels at least until 2022.
These megatrends and challenges reinforce the need for Lithuania to design forward-looking, dynamic skills policies. To thrive in the world of tomorrow, people will need a stronger and more comprehensive set of skills, underpinned by high-quality learning opportunities across the life course, as well as better opportunities to use skills in the labour market and workplaces. Lithuania has made progress in this direction – the state progress strategy “Lithuania 2030”, the National Plan for Progress (NPP) 2021‑2030, the Programme of Government 2020 and other strategies have a strong focus on skills. Lithuania has embarked on a range of skills policy reforms in recent years spanning the funding of formal education, education network efficiencies, teacher education, vocational education governance, labour code amendments and more. In the context of Lithuania’s ongoing medium- and long-term planning initiatives, the country has a unique window of opportunity to put skills at the top of the agenda to positively influence the megatrends, tackle the challenges and seize the opportunities facing the country.
The OECD and the Government of the Republic of Lithuania have identified four priority areas for improving Lithuania’s skills performance. These priority areas are the focus of this report. The key findings and opportunities for improvement in each of the areas are summarised below and elaborated in subsequent chapters, which also have detailed policy recommendations.