Australia |
Improvement |
In March-April 2020 Australian Government Bonds (AGBs) experienced a period of stress, along with many other markets globally in response to the coronavirus. Bid-ask spreads on bonds went significantly wider from an average around 1 basis point for a 10-year bond to around 10 basis points. Following actions from the AOFM and the Reserve Bank of Australia (the domestic central bank) these levels normalized to be back around 1 basis point by April. Turnover was elevated over the period January to June 2020. March 2020 was the highest ever recorded monthly turnover in the AOFM turnover survey. In March a large amount of selling of AGBs was undertaken by investors to raise cash. This was due to the liquidity available in the market (investors were locked out of other markets). Also driving elevated turnover over the period was heightened issuance of AGBs to fund fiscal packages in response to the coronavirus. The increase in issuance and market size is expected to contribute to a sustained increased in turnover. |
Austria |
Improvement |
In the first eight months of 2020 (Jan-Aug), we have seen a significant increase in secondary market turnover in Republic of Austria Government Bonds (RAGBs) vs. the same period in 2019. However, in 2020YTD (until October 20, 2020), bid-ask spreads have widened significantly compared to the last year. |
Belgium |
mixed |
After the initial COVID-shock in March, liquidity conditions have quite rapidly normalized. We are committed to help primary dealers assure the liquidity of our bond market; where and when needed we will make sure to provide additional liquidity through auctions. For this reason we added an optional liquidity facility where banks can ask for an auction -for limited amounts- in specific bonds. This was very well received. Little change in terms of volumes traded by customers, certainly if central bank buying is taken into account. Volumes traded inter-dealer however, are significantly down. |
Canada |
No change |
Government securities markets in Canada were exhibiting good liquidity conditions entering the COVID-19 pandemic. Bid-ask spreads are generally low and trading volumes were strong across the curve. Investors exhibited good demand for Government securities including a significant proportion of foreign investors (non-residents).As global uncertainty increased at the beginning of 2020, investor confidence was disrupted and high levels of volatility caused a global flight from risk. Financial markets in Canada began to show signs of impairment with a deterioration in liquidity conditions. Market makers became reluctant to facilitate trades and some market participants rushed to sell assets to increase cash holdings. During this time, pricing of Canadian treasury bills and Government of Canada bonds became more uncertain, making it harder to price other assets (i.e. spread products) in the Canadian fixed income market. Higher bid-ask spreads and price-impact were observed for a few weeks during the months of March and April 2020, they have since reduced to lower levels (please refer to: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2020/05/financial-system-review-2020/).
Several policy actions were introduced by the Bank of Canada to help alleviate impaired market liquidity in Canada. A range of liquidity facilities and large-scale asset purchase programs were introduced in March and April 2020 to help restore market functioning and ensure that financial institutions have adequate liquidity. These programs have helped to improve liquidity conditions and market functioning across a wide range of markets. The overall trend in the liquidity conditions of Canadian domestic sovereign bonds is unchanged as liquidity is back to normal levels since at least May 2020 (after its decline in March/April 2020). Furthermore, there has been increased participation from investors in Government of Canada securities. |
Colombia |
Decline |
The overall trend has been declining particularly after mid of March of 2020 trading volumes fall from a daily average of 3 Trillion to an average of 800 Billion local currency bonds in the secondary market of due to worldwide pandemic consequences, international turmoil, high volatility and uncertainty. However, since August of 2020, trading volumes and liquidity of sovereign local Bonds have improved, which are now close to 1.6 Trillion daily on average. In terms of bid-ask spread in March we observed peaks of 50-80pbs spreads in nominal bonds and 50-80pbs spreads in linked bonds. As of November, 2020, bid-ask spreads have decreased to normal spreads as 3pbs spreads in nominal bonds in and 12pbs spreads in linked bonds. |
Czech Republic |
Decline |
Overall, changes in liquidity conditions were observed only in particular bond issues, for example short term government bonds. Negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the bid-ask spread was only temporary (spring 2019). The decline in outstanding trading volumes on the secondary market can be explained by an increase in primary issues, so the primary dealers were flooded by the government bonds supply on the primary market and didn’t have such a need to execute trades on the secondary market. |
Denmark |
No change |
Liquidity was reduced significantly in the market for domestic bonds during March/April 2020, but liquidity in terms of bid-ask spread, trading volumes etc. relatively quickly normalised, as calm was restored in the financial markets. |
Estonia |
No change |
Marketable debt issuance was set up only in 2019 when Treasury Bills were first introduced. In 2020 Estonia re-entered the bond market after 18 years. There is no regular issuance calendar in place. |
Finland |
Don't know |
|
France |
Decline |
Liquidity conditions deteriorated significantly from January toward the end of March but improved since April, reaching January levels on September on bid-ask spreads but without a full recovery for trading volumes. |
Germany |
Improvement |
In the first six months 2020 the trading volume was slightly higher than in same period of 2019, although bid-ask spreads have been slightly wider in particular in long maturities. Overall, liquidity conditions in German Federal securities remain excellent. |
Greece |
Improvement |
|
Hungary |
No change |
In the spring of 2020 liquidity worsened, the DMO eased the price quoting obligations of Primary Dealers. Since the summer liquidity and trading increased back to pre-pandemic levels. |
Iceland |
Improvement |
Improvement have been in secondary trading turnover over the last 9 months, compared to the first nine months in year 2019, as the Treasury has increased its issue due to COVID-19 pandemic. Bid–ask spread and average ticket size have remained broadly stable in recent years. |
Ireland |
Improvement |
Liquidity and bid-ask spreads have improved in recent months, following markets volatility in the early part of the year at the start of the COVID-19 crisis. |
Israel |
No change |
In March 2020 the coronavirus had spread to over 200 countries including Israel. As a result of the economic conditions and closures, as well as sustained uncertainty regarding the spread of the virus, the liquidity in the local capital market was significantly affected, and primary dealers in Gov. bonds decreased activity. As a result the DMO temporarily eased the quoting requirement, to a best effort basis. In addition some exclusive Primary Dealer (PD) benefits such as the green-shoe were increased. In the end of April there were some signs of market recovery and it was decided to return to the standard quoting obligation policy. Since April, and overall, the trend in liquidity conditions of the domestic sovereign bonds was with no change compared to the trend before the pandemic has begun. It should be mentioned that since May the DMO has significantly increase its issuances in the domestic market, which supported liquidity. On the other hand, in March 2020 the Central Bank (CB) introduced a Gov. bonds purchase program in the secondary market, which was increased in October, in order to support market conditions. This supported the stability while also have and an effect on liquidity. |
Italy |
Improvement |
From January 2020 until now, liquidity conditions have been very volatile and it is difficult to describe a general trend. It appears more appropriate to divide the past 9 months into sub-periods. During January and February 2020 both in terms of volumes traded and of bid-ask spreads, liquidity conditions have been quite stable when compared with those of the previous months. During the months of March and the first half of April, during the peak of COVID-19 crisis, liquidity has dramatically declined in all metrics we may look at. In terms of volumes traded, on the main interdealer platform (MTS Italy) the reduction has been of about 50%. In terms of bid-ask spread, the 10y Buono del Tesoro Poliennale (BTP) point after reaching the widest level in mid-March, started decreasing constantly from mid-April. From mid-April 2020 until now, not only the liquidity conditions have been restored, but also we can observe some improvements with respect to pre-COVID period. During the last month of September, MTS Volumes has doubled with respect to January 2020 and September 2019, while 10-year BTP bid-ask spread has touched a minimum historical level. |
Japan |
No change |
After the government declared a state of emergency in April, the volume of futures trading temporarily decreased and bid-ask spread and price-tail increased due to a fall in market participants’ risk tolerance when they started split operation and remote working. Now, these situations have been improved to the levels before the outbreak of COVID-19.Please refer to Q6. |
Korea |
No change |
We could find the overshooting phenomenon in the trading volumes and bid-ask spread during March, triggering market volatility, due to the pandemic issue. |
Latvia |
No change |
There are no major changes in Bid-Ask spread over last 9 months of Latvia’s domestic sovereign bonds.
Trading volumes of Latvia’s domestic sovereign bonds slightly decreased over last 9 months in comparison to whole 2019 trading volumes, but if we compare 2019 and 2020 data – trading volumes has increased.
Liquidity is still impacted by European Central Bank (ECB) Quantitative Easing (QE) programs. |
Lithuania |
Improvement |
The trading volume increased in primary and secondary market due to the monetary policy responses over the last 9 months. On the other hand, Bank of Lithuania began implementing the ECB’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) and the overall volume of purchases of Republic of Lithuania government bonds has doubled, which led to a decrease in liquidity. |
Luxembourg |
Don't know |
|
Mexico |
Decline |
The trend of liquidity conditions in terms of the difference between supply and demand and the volume of operations are decreasing during the months of March and April, driven by the high volatility observed in international markets as a result of the effect generated by the COVID-19 pandemic. |
Netherlands |
Don't know |
|
New Zealand |
Improvement |
|
Norway |
Decline |
We use a liquidity index to monitor liquidity in the secondary market for government bond. The index is a composite of four indicators that are primarily price-based measures. The index shows signs that liquidity has gradually improved since 2012. However, owing to the market turbulence associated with COVID-19, the liquidity conditions declined sharply in March. Since then, the liquidity situation has improved significantly again. |
Poland |
Decline |
The deterioration was closely connected to COVID-19 pandemic – the first case of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and lockdown-type control measures were introduced in Poland in March 2020. Quoted bid-ask spreads rocketed up then and the quoted volumes significantly decreased. In a response the requirements regarding max spreads on the electronic market were widened to the levels 3 times higher in March 20. In the months that followed, the levels were gradually tightened and in July 22 the pre-pandemic max spread levels were finally restored. The situation is slowly improving. As of trading volumes we have been observing a significant decrease, especially in outright transactions. |
Portugal |
No change |
Before the pandemic crisis the liquidity in the secondary market was improving vs 2019 in terms of bid-ask spreads, but with lower volumes. After that, liquidity for Portuguese government bonds has decreased considerably, particularly in the month of March, when new COVID-19 cases emerged in European countries: bid-offer spreads widened significantly and Primary Dealers decreased their market making function motivated by increased overall uncertainty (there were days without any quotation). The turnover has also decreased, but particularly the inter-dealer turnover. Regarding this topic, Portuguese Treasury and Debt Management Agency (IGCP) requested recommendations to Primary Dealers, but there was no need to relax the minimum quoting obligations. The ECB measures (namely with the introduction of the PEPP and the new Pandemic Emergency Longer-Term Refinancing Operations (PELTROs)) contributed to stabilize the market and improve liquidity, converging to pre-crisis levels. Bid-ask spreads also tightened again, resuming pre-COVID levels. |
Slovak Republic |
Decline |
Widening of spreads and less trades on MTS since the COVID-19 pandemic. |
Slovenia |
Decline |
In the first half of the year 2020 the bid-ask spread widened due to COVID-19 pandemic, correspondingly trading volumes decreased. Since July 2020 bid-ask spreads started to tighten and are converging the level in the period before pandemic. |
Spain |
Improvement |
During the immediate aftermath of the COVID crises there was a negative spike in liquidity, especially in the longer tenors, but this was quickly reversed and went back to the overall positive trend in liquidity. |
Sweden |
No change |
Good liquidity Jan/Feb. March /April was poor. During the last few months off-the run bonds has suffered somewhat due to quantitative easing while on-the runs works well. |
Switzerland |
Decline |
As in many other countries, the Swiss government bond market experienced a significant decline in liquidity following the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic. While trading volumes initially increased as investors fled into cash and rebalanced their portfolios, the observed bid-ask spread increased sharply. However, since the end of March, the spreads and volumes are slowly regressing back to pre-COVID-levels. |
Turkey |
Decline |
Average daily trading volume of outright buy and sell transactions in the secondary market has been declined in 2020 compared to 2019, from 319 million USD in 2019 to 246 million USD in 2020.
In terms of bid-ask spread, there is no significant change in the last year. |
United Kingdom |
Improvement |
Data from an electronic platform suggest that there was a significant widening in the bid offer spreads of 10-year and 30-year gilts from the beginning of March until the third week of the month, by up to five times normal levels, indicative of challenging market conditions. However, spreads fell sharply between the final week of March and mid-April (to around two to three times normal levels) and by the beginning of May much of this widening was reversed. In terms of the secondary market trading volumes in the gilt market, overall, they have increased over the last 9 months, driven by the increase in trading volumes of conventional gilts (on the back of elevated issuance), which have more than offset the fall in the secondary market trading volumes of index-linked gilts. Secondary market trading volumes (13-week average) in conventional gilts (as reported by primary dealers) have in general been on an upward trajectory over the past four and a half years. The record high was recorded in June 2020 (roughly £210bn a week); the significant expansion of the Bank of England's gilt buying programme may have contributed to this. Since then however, the trading volume has fallen back to circa £165bn levels at end-September 2020. This compares with circa £145bn at end-September 2019. Index-linked gilt turnover (13 weeks average) had been growing over the last 8 to 9 years; and reached a record high in November 2019. However, after a short-run spike in March 2020, the turnover has since fallen back to levels last recorded in 2016-17. It should be noted that index-linked gilts are not eligible for buybacks by the Bank of England. Moreover, the index-linked market turnover may have been affected by an ongoing consultation on reforming the calculation methodology of the Retail Price Index (RPI), which is used to adjust the coupon payments as well as the repayment of the principal of index-linked gilts. |
United States |
Improvement |
Liquidity conditions deteriorated significantly in March, as seen in wider bid-ask spreads, dispersion of prices across the curve, spreads between off-the-run and on-the-run securities, and linkages between cash and futures markets, among others. At the same time, volumes hit record levels, indicating trades were still able to get executed. Since March, most of Treasury market liquidity metrics have normalized, with the notable exception of the long-end of the curve. For example, bid-ask spreads for the 30-year bond have improved dramatically, but still remain somewhat wider than prior to March. |
Total: Improvement |
12 |
|
Total: Decline |
10 |
|
Total: No change |
10 |
|
Total: Don’t know |
3 |
|