Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou
OECD
OECD Economic Surveys: Iceland 2023
2. Immigration in Iceland: addressing challenges and unleashing the benefits
Abstract
Immigration has increased rapidly since the late 1990s, driven largely by strong economic growth and high standards of living. By mid-2023, foreign citizens made up around 18% of the population. This has brought important economic benefits to Iceland, including by boosting the working age population and helping the country to meet labour demands in fast-growing sectors. However, there are important challenges regarding the integration of immigrants and their children that need to be addressed through a comprehensive approach, helping to make the most of immigration. Successful labour market integration of immigrants requires more effective language training for adults and an improvement in skills recognition procedures. At the same time, immigrants need more opportunities to work in the public sector and the adult learning system should be adjusted to better encompass their training needs. Strengthening language skills is key to improving the weak educational outcomes of immigrant students. Enhancing teachers’ preparedness to accommodate students’ diverse educational needs is another pre-requisite. Strengthening integration further hinges upon meeting the housing needs of the immigrant population, including through an increase in the supply of social and affordable housing.
2.1. Introduction
Immigration is not a new phenomenon in Iceland but has become increasingly prominent since the late 1990s, more so than in the other Nordic countries on average (Figure 2.1). Strong economic growth and high standards of living are important attractors, facilitated by the opening of Iceland’s labour market to European Economic Area (EEA) countries since the mid-1990s. The most recent waves raised the proportion of foreign citizens close to 15% of the population in 2022, compared to merely 2% in the mid-1990s, with a further increase to around 18% by mid-2023. The rapidly rising influx of immigrants and its changing geographical origins have transformed the economy through a wider variety of skills and competencies and increased population diversity. Overall, the Icelandic public has a positive view of immigration, according to a recent opinion survey covering areas such as the labour market, education, and the political and social engagement of immigrants (Ćirić, 2021[1]).
Immigration plays an important economic role, affecting performance through multiple channels. It yields visible demographic benefits not only by contributing largely to growth in the workforce, helping to alleviate pressures from shrinking native workforce, but also by changing the age structure of the population, since immigrants are in general younger than natives. Moreover, immigrant workers fill important niches in the labour market, contributing significantly to fast-growing sectors such as tourism and construction, and they increase labour market flexibility (Figure 2.2). By supplementing the human capital of the native workforce, immigrants also help to augment Iceland’s productive capacity. Indeed, empirical estimates point to a positive productivity impact from an increase in net migration, especially in the long run, which exceeds the OECD average (Boubtane, Dumont and Rault, 2016[2]). Simple scenario analysis by OECD (described below) also suggests significant output gains from net migration in the long run.
However, immigration also poses policy challenges related to the integration of immigrants and their children. A much larger proportion of immigrants are over-qualified compared to natives, implying that many workers with a foreign background do not manage to translate their educational qualifications into good labour market outcomes (Figure 2.2). There are also important challenges for the education system in view of the poor educational performance and the diverse needs of students with a foreign background. Increased demand for affordable housing in a tight market adds to these challenges. Immigrants face high housing costs and tend to live in overcrowded dwellings.
This chapter discusses the economic role of immigration in Iceland focusing on the labour market, education and housing, as well as relevant integration issues in these areas, and identifies reform options to make the most of immigration. The chapter first discusses immigration patterns, putting them in an international context. This is followed by a discussion of immigration policy with an emphasis on labour markets. The subsequent sections focus on policies to better integrate immigrants and help them and their children to meet their potential. These include measures to enhance the labour market integration of immigrants by enabling them to better use the qualifications they obtained abroad and to strengthen their skills through work experience and lifelong learning, as well as measures that improve the outcomes of immigrant students, including potential reforms to better prepare school and teachers to meet diverse needs. The last section focuses on reforms to address burdensome housing costs and the poorer housing conditions immigrants tend to face. The main findings and recommendations are summarised in Table 2.1 at the end of the chapter.
2.2. Immigration patterns in an international context
Migration inflows and outflows were roughly balanced until the late 1990s, when immigration started increasing faster than emigration (Figure 2.3). Iceland’s economic boom opened up new opportunities for foreigners in tandem with its joining the EEA in the mid-1990s, and especially the EEA enlargement to Eastern Europe in the 2000s. Foreign citizens (from EEA and third countries) accounted for around 90% of total migration flows in 2022 compared to a third in the early 1990s, with a fall in the corresponding share of returning Icelanders. The flows of migrants since the turn of the century appear to be closely related to the business cycle, a link that was much less evident in previous decades (Elíasson, 2017[3]). Inflows were particularly strong in the run-up to the global financial crisis and during the post-crisis recovery, despite a slowdown during the pandemic (Figure 2.4). The estimated inflows of immigrants as a percentage of the population in 2021 were among the highest in OECD (OECD, 2022[4]).
The composition of migration inflows by region/country of origin has changed over time, with the rest of Europe overtaking the other Nordic countries (Figure 2.5). In the mid-1980s, over 65% of immigrants came from the other Nordic countries and around 15% originated from elsewhere in Europe (EU and other Europe), with the pattern reversing by 2022. EU enlargements in 2004 and 2007 triggered a surge of immigration from the new member states to Iceland, above the increases experienced by the other Nordic countries. Poland is the main country of origin among the new EU member countries, followed by Romania and Lithuania. Outside the European Union, Ukraine and Venezuela account for the largest share of immigrants. An increasing number of foreigners from third countries entered Iceland over the past decade or so with refugee or other forms of protection status (Box 2.1).
Box 2.1. The number of applicants for international protection has increased in recent years
The number of new asylum applications (per thousand of population) has risen fast since the mid-2000s (Figure 2.6). In 2021, Iceland received more new asylum seekers than most OECD countries, including the Nordic peers, and the number rose five-fold in 2022. Refugees with international protection, including those with a temporary protection status, comprised around 35% of total net immigration in 2022, with the majority coming from Ukraine and Venezuela.
The share of immigration related to reasons including international protection has increased rapidly in recent years on the basis of first residence permits issued for non-EU immigrants (Figure 2.6). On the other hand, the number of first permits for education-related reasons has almost halved as a share of total issuances between 2014 and 2019, while permits issued for employment-related reasons increased mildly without however reaching their 2008 level. Family-related reasons remain the largest category of first resident permits, accounting for around a third of the total in 2019, but the share has declined compared to its 2009 peak.
Immigrants are predominately young, with almost equal shares of men and women. The age distribution of the immigrant population is centred around younger groups within the working age population compared to a relatively flat distribution in the case of natives. The median age of the foreign-born population is the lowest in the EU area (Figure 2.7). Immigrants of prime age (25-54 years), with large work potential, accounted for over 70% of their population in 2022, against around 40% for natives. There were more women than men in the immigrant population until 2005, but the pattern has become more balanced since, probably reflecting an increase in jobs that are traditionally occupied by men (Statistics Norway, 2022[5]). In 2022, the female-to-male immigrant ratio was on par with the average of the other Nordic countries.
Immigrants are not distributed equally among regions. In 2022, around 65% of the immigrant population were living and worked in the capital area, a pattern that has remained broadly unchanged over time and is in line with that of the total population (Figure 2.8). Immigrants tend to concentrate in areas where tourism and construction jobs are available. An increasing share of immigrants has been staying for over five years.
Moreover, immigrants are on average less educated than natives. The share of immigrants with tertiary education has increased over time but remains lower than that of natives, with the difference between the two groups having increased (Figure 2.9). At the same time, the share of immigrants with a basic level of education remained broadly the same between 2011 and 2021, while it declined by over 6 percentage points in the case of natives. Within the immigrant population, women tend to be better educated than men, an attainment gap that has increased over time. This may reflect the higher concentration of immigrant men in sectors requiring lower skills (see below). By international comparison, Iceland tends to host better educated immigrants than the EU countries on average, although it lags Sweden and Norway.
Immigrant workers are over-represented in low-skill, labour-intensive sectors. In 2022, immigrants accounted for over 20% of total employment with important contributions to fast-growing sectors such as tourism, fishing and construction, where they filled between 30% and 40% of the available jobs (Figure 2.10). These sectors are highly volatile. The tourism industry, for instance, was adversely affected by the lockdowns and travel restrictions during the pandemic, fueling large increases in unemployment among immigrants (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). On the other hand, the share of foreign workers in higher tech activities is low. In the ICT sector, in particular, immigrants accounted for less than 10% of total employment in 2022, but recently-adopted legislation should facilitate the recruitment of foreign experts (see below).
2.3. Immigration policy is flexible but there is scope to attract more skilled labour
Immigration policy has been amended in recent years in response to increasing immigration. A new migration law (Act on Foreign Nationals No 80/2016) entered into force in early 2017. The law simplified, among others, the application and approval processes for the issuance of residence permits, required for non-EEA citizens (Greve Harbo, Heleniak and Ström Hildestrand, 2017[7]). It also provided for a wider range of residence permits, with a particular focus on the humanitarian aspects of immigration (Government of Iceland, 2022[8]). However, the governance of immigration and integration issues remained distinct, in legal terms and administrative terms (Box 2.2), which can result in overlapping responsibilities. Planned reforms aim to amend the system of working permits for non-EEA citizens, making it simpler and more efficient (Box 2.2).
Box 2.2. Immigration framework: main features
Responsible government agencies
Immigration and integration issues in Iceland are mainly under the responsibility of two separate ministries. More specifically, issues related to foreign nationals and citizenship affairs (border control, residence permits, international protection and visa) are under the responsibility of the Ministry of Justice, while integration, inclusion and refugee resettlement (once they have been granted international protection or been invited through the UNHCR Resettlement Scheme) are under the responsibility of the Ministry of Social Affairs and Labour.
The Multicultural and Information Centre has played a key role in recent years, along with the municipalities, in providing assistance and counselling to immigrants. A March 2023 law has merged this Centre with the Directorate of Labour with the objective to enhance coordination, efficiency and synergies with regard to issues related to immigration, integration, social inclusion and refugee resettlement.
The Immigration Council is an intergovernmental body that advises the Minister of Social Policy and Labour on policy, implementation and monitoring of the Immigration Policy and promotes collaboration and coordination between the ministries, local authorities and other relevant stakeholders
Framework for labour immigration: issuance of temporary work permits for non-EEA nationals
While nationals from a European Economic Area (EEA) country do not need a permit to work in Iceland, non-EEA nationals are required under existing legislation (Foreign Nationals’ Right to Work Act No. 97/2002) to have a work permit prior to arrival in Iceland, which is usually a pre-condition to be granted a residence permit. Employers must submit an application for a work permit to the Directorate of Immigration. The Directorate of Labour decides whether to approve or reject the application.
There are seven categories of temporary work permits. These can be grouped into permits granted to individuals on the grounds of labour market needs and permits that accompany the individual’s residence permit. The first group includes permits that are obtained for jobs that require specific expertise (Article 8), due to labour market shortage (Article 9), service provision from a foreign provider (Article 15), and permits granted to foreign athletes and coaches (Article 10). The second group consists of work permits for students (Article 13), on the grounds of family reunification (Article 12), and due to special circumstances (Article 11), such as residence permits on humanitarian grounds.
There are several conditions for the granting of temporary work permits. These include the fulfilment of a labour market test in the case of permits granted on the grounds of labour market shortages, when this is deemed necessary by the Directorate of Labour on the basis of labour market evaluation. In cases where a labour market test is deemed to be necessary, the employer is requested to advertise the job via the EURES job search portal, which enables the Directorate to gather information on the supply of labour domestically and within the EEA.
For all categories of temporary work permits (apart from the ones for service contracts) applicants must obtain the opinion of the relevant labour union. The union provides guidance when the employment contract does not meet the minimum requirements of the relevant collective bargaining agreements and relevant labour legislation. In addition, the employment contract must be signed between the foreign national and employer
A recent draft bill proposes changes in the system of working permits for non-EEA citizens to make it simpler and more efficient. The envisaged amendments include an extension of the duration of temporary permits for foreign experts from two years under current legislation to four years. In addition, spouses of experts will no longer need a work permit to enter the labour market. The daft bill further proposes to allow foreign students to stay in the country after their graduation from Icelandic universities for up to three years, as against six months currently. They will be able to work part time (up to 60%) and bring their families while studying.
Source: Directorate of Labour; (Government of Iceland, 2022[8]); (Greve Harbo, Heleniak and Ström Hildestrand, 2017[7]).
Increased immigration flows since the turn of the century appear to have been handled flexibly, providing Iceland ample scope for meeting seasonal and cyclical variations in labour demand. There are no restrictions for citizens from EEA countries, who account for the vast majority of immigrants, to enter the Icelandic labour market, but the law requires a temporary work permit for third-country nationals. There are several conditions for the granting of such temporary work permits for non-EEA nationals, including a labour market test (Box 2.2). However, tight labour markets might have effectively reduced the impact of labour market tests and other legislative requirements for non-EEA workers. Official estimates indicate high approval rates for all types of temporary work permits for third country workers, with the average approval rate exceeding 90% over the past ten years. The share of temporary work permits for foreign specialists in issuances has increased considerably since 2009 (Figure 2.11)
Flexibility is important in view of skills shortages, so that workers from third countries can help meet demand and supplement the labour resources provided by EU/EEA immigrants. However, the skill mix can be strengthened by attracting more foreign specialists in view of shortages in frontier sectors, notably ICT. The government provides tax incentives on a case by case basis to foreign and Icelandic immigrated specialists in the form of a 25% income tax reduction for the first three years of employment of such workers, subject to certain conditions, but the system lacks transparency. Preferential tax schemes for foreign workers have become increasingly common in OECD countries, although their design differs (OECD, 2011[9]; Timm, Giuliodori and Mulle, 2022[10]; OECD, 2023[11]). However, research on the effectiveness of such schemes in terms of migration response and their economic impact is limited, making it difficult to derive clear conclusions. Focusing on the tax incentives for highly skilled migrants in the Netherlands, a recent study infers that the preferential tax scheme was effective in attracting more skilled immigrants (Timm, Giuliodori and Mulle, 2022[10]). Increased transparency and predictability of the application process and eligibility rules in the context of a major reform of the scheme in 2012 appear to have played a crucial role in this respect.
A new law facilitates the issuance of work permits for foreign specialists. An important change, in this regard, is that the proposed provisions do not condition the issuance of work permits on specific educational qualifications but rather on specialised knowledge that is in short supply in the country. It is also proposed that the government publishes a shortage occupation list for jobs requiring specialised knowledge, which would be updated regularly. The reform goes in the right direction. Implementation will help Iceland to reduce labour shortages in frontier sectors, notably ICT. A swift adoption of the draft bill proposing an extension of the duration of residence and work permits for foreign experts from two to four years (Box 2.2) is also of high importance in attracting foreign experts. At the same time, the effectiveness of the tax incentive scheme needs to be regularly monitored and assessed. Fast-track procedures for skill certification would accelerate the entry of skilled immigrants into shortage occupations (see below).
Proposed legislative changes aim to further increase the attractiveness of studying in Iceland including by allowing foreign students to stay in the country for up to three years after graduation, as against six months currently (Box 2.2). This is an important step towards facilitating the labour market integration of non-EEA students and promoting knowledge transfer. Over 15% of all students at Icelandic universities are of a foreign origin with the majority coming from third countries. The government should consider, in this context, introducing university fees for students from outside the EEA, as all the other Nordic countries have done.
2.4. The economic impact of immigration is closely related to integration
2.4.1. The impact of immigration on GDP per capita
Immigration plays an important economic role. It impacts GDP per capita by affecting demographic trends and changing the age structure of the population as, on average, immigrants are younger than natives, and through its impact on labour productivity when there are complementarities between the skills of immigrant and native workers. Immigrants arrive with skills and abilities that can supplement the human capital of the host country, contributing to innovation and productivity growth. Indeed, empirical research shows that immigration can affect human capital in the host country directly, if foreign nationals have high educational attainment, or indirectly by incentivising natives to invest in education (Portes, 2018[12]). Cross-country evidence suggests that immigration is likely to have a positive impact on GDP per capita, including in the case of Iceland, especially in the longer term, although the findings do not capture the changes in the composition of Iceland’s immigrant population observed in recent years (Box 2.3).
Box 2.3. Empirical evidence on the growth effects of immigration
Empirical research on the impact of immigration on the economy focuses on productivity and GDP per capita. The main findings of some comparative studies are as follows:
(Boubtane, Dumont and Rault, 2016[2]) estimate the impact of migration on economic growth for 22 OECD countries over the period 1986 to 2006, taking into account the skill composition of foreign immigrants. They report a positive relationship between migrants’ human capital and GDP per capita, with the estimated magnitude varying widely across countries. For Iceland, in the short run, an increase of 50% in the net migration rate of foreign-born migrants boosts economy-wide productivity by six-tenths of a percentage-point per year, with a long-run effect at 4.4% per year. In both cases, the estimated impact is over twice the average of the OECD countries considered by the analysis.
Other studies also show that immigration has a beneficial effect on economic growth in the longer term. Research by (Brunow, Nijkamp and Poot, 2015[13]), for instance, covering 36 rich countries with high immigration rates, concludes that net migration has a positive effect on GDP per capita with a lag of two decades. Exploring the longer-term impact of migration for 18 advanced countries, (Jaumotte, Koloskova and Saxena, 2016[14]) find that immigration boosts GDP per capita in host countries, operating mainly through labour productivity, with a 1% increase in the migrant share of the adult population raising GDP per capita by approximately 2% in the long run. When looking at the impact of migrants by skill level, the study concludes that both high- and low-skilled immigrants contribute to productivity, in part due to complementarity effect. The dividends from immigration appear to be broadly shared, according to the authors.
A recent study by (d’Albis, Boubtane and Coulibaly, 2019[15]) assesses the dynamic effects of an exogenous migration shock on the economy and the public finances. The results of a panel analysis of 19 OECD countries over the period 1980-2015 show that a migration shock that increases the net flow of migrants by one incoming individual per thousand inhabitants raises GDP per capita by boosting both labour supply and employment. According to these estimates, the impact on GDP per capita is 0.25% in the year of the shock and peaks at 0.31% the year after.
2.4.2. Labour market impacts
Increased inflows of immigrants has yielded important demographic benefits to Iceland, with foreign citizens contributing largely to growth in prime age population (Figure 2.12, Panel A), while helping to address the adverse impact of population ageing. This is particularly important in the fast-growing sectors of the economy. Without continued net migration, Iceland’s working age population would shrink by a cumulative 5% by 2050 (Figure 2.12, Panel B), according to OECD calculations, with clear benefits, on the other hand, from higher immigration in the years to come. Simple scenario analysis suggests significant output gains from net migration in the long run: real GDP for Iceland would be about 6.5% higher by 2030 and 10.4% by 2040 compared to a scenario with no further net immigration (Figure 2.12, Panel D). The effect is higher for Iceland than for the Nordic peers, given the current high net immigration relative to its population.
Immigration has also added to the flexibility of the Icelandic labour market in view of the close relation between migration inflows and the business cycle since the turn of the century (Figure 2.4). The adjustment of the labour market during the years of the financial crisis provides some supportive evidence in this regard. Many of the foreign workers that entered Iceland in the early 2000s left the country in the wake of the crisis, contributing to proportionally greater net emigration than in previous contractions. This likely caused the unemployment rate to rise less than would have been the case without labour migration (Central Bank of Iceland, 2011[16]; Jauer et al., 2014[17]).
There is also evidence that, in some countries, immigration has contributed to weakening the response of inflation to economic activity. For instance, empirical evidence for Spain (Bentolila, Dolado and Jimeno, 2007[18]) and Sweden (IMF, 2015[19]) provides support in this regard. In Iceland too, the Phillips curve appears to have flattened since the late 1990s, maybe in part due to the increase in migrant inflows (Figure 2.13). Immigration may weaken the unemployment-inflation trade-off in the host country by increasing the elasticity of labour supply, which in turn has a dampening effect on wage growth (Razin and Binyamini, 2007[20]), or other channels, such as reducing the natural rate of unemployment through lower labour market mismatches (IMF, 2015[19]). Studies employing a microfounded Phillips curve further stress other labour-market channels through which immigration can affect inflation dynamics. According to the findings, increases in immigration can lower the expected marginal costs of production, leading to lower inflation for a given unemployment rate than in the absence of foreign workers (Dolado, Jimeno and Bentolila, 2008[21]). Unlike conventional models that treat labour as a homogeneous input, these studies assume some differences between immigrants and natives in terms of the determination of their wages and marginal rate of substitution between consumption and leisure (Bentolila, Dolado and Jimeno, 2007[18]).
The impact of immigration on wages and employment in the native population is prominent in the public debate. Most studies nevertheless point to a very small impact, reflecting to a large extent skill complementarities between native and immigrant workers (Edo et al., 2020[22]; IMF, 2020[23]). However, the impact is not evenly distributed. A review of 12 studies (conducted between 2003 and 2008) for the United Kingdom, suggests that immigration has a negative impact among certain groups, notably those with lower levels of education (Ruhs and Vargas-Silva, 2020[24]). IMF research covering 22 OECD countries over the period 1995-2012 further infers that the adverse impact is felt most strongly in the young and low-skilled segments of the labour market (IMF, 2015[19]). Overall, a rise in migration results in a larger increase in unemployment for foreign-born than native workers, according to the study. Also, research on the wage effects of immigration provides little evidence that this lowers the wages of less educated native workers (Peri, 2014[25]). Nevertheless, new immigrants tend to compete more with earlier immigrants than native workers, thereby exerting a negative and slighter larger adverse impact on the wages of the former group.
There are no specific studies analysing the impact of immigration on average wages and employment of native workers in Iceland. However, tight labour market conditions could be expected to alleviate potentially negative impacts of immigration on the employment of native workers. Moreover, as immigrant workers tend to be concentrated in low-skilled jobs, it is likely that natives move to higher-skilled jobs requiring linguistic proficiency that immigrants often lack. There are some indications, in this context, of a decline in employment of native workers over the period 2012-19 in agriculture and fishing, whereas in sectors such as real estate, transportation, ICT, as well as construction, probably at higher-skilled jobs, their employment has increased (Figure 2.14). At the same time, Iceland’s high degree of unionisation could be expected to limit the potential adverse effects on wages from increased labour supply, while the concentration of immigrants in specific sectors keep wages in such sectors stable, containing distributional consequences.
2.4.3. The impact of immigration on education
The population in compulsory education has increased steadily over the past decade driven by a rise in the share of foreign students (Figure 2.15). Immigrant students, in particular, accounted for a bit over 6% of student population in compulsory schools in 2022, three times the corresponding share in 2006. Students from Poland accounted for the largest share of foreign students, mirroring the composition of immigration.
Increasing immigration can impact the education system in various ways, including by creating additional demand for places, posing a risk of overcrowded classes, and also through additional demand for resources in view of the diverse educational needs of students. The poor educational performance of immigrant students (discussed below) also raises qualitative challenges for schools.
School overcrowding does not appear to be a source of concern. While the student population in compulsory education increased steadily over the past decade, the number of students per class remained, on average, broadly unchanged (Figure 2.16). International comparisons further suggest that Iceland ranks close to the OECD in this indicator both in primary and lower secondary education, with a small difference between the two levels. The average figures, however, mask variations among regions, as the problem may arise more in the areas receiving higher proportions of immigrants. In addition, Iceland exceeds the OECD average in terms of the gap in average class size between public and private institutions. The large majority of students in the country attend public schools.
Immigrant students often require higher per-capita educational expenditure, especially upon arrival in the host country, placing additional demands for resources on schools (OECD, 2016[26]). An important component of such costs regards the additional language needs of foreign students. The share of students in compulsory education with a foreign mother tongue has increased steadily since 2006 (Figure 2.17, Panel A). Around 7% of students in compulsory education were receiving support for learning Icelandic in 2020-21, according to national data, compared to merely 3.5% a decade before, and increasing immigration will most likely raise budgetary cost further. The government provides financial assistance to municipalities to meet expenses for special needs and Icelandic lessons for immigrant children. A larger population of students with diverse needs also requires additional resources for in-service training and support for teachers to work effectively with immigrant students. The share of teachers working in multicultural or multilingual settings (including with refugee children) and reporting high needs for professional development has increased in recent years. In 2018, it was among the highest in OECD, according to the latest findings from TALIS (Teaching and Learning International Survey) (Figure 2.17, Panel B). The challenges can be larger in small rural communities where access to qualified teaching staff is more limited.
There are no available estimates of the overall school expenditure allocated to immigrant students in Iceland. International comparison of total education expenditure reveals, however, that Iceland spends 0.8% of GDP more on education than the average OECD country, with the difference mainly reflecting high expenditure on compulsory education (primary and lower secondary education), which is almost fully publicly funded (Figure 2.18). This reflects, to a large extent, the “inclusive school” policy, stipulating that all students, irrespective of their special education needs, should have access to regular schooling, an objective that is reinforced by the current education multi-year government strategy (OECD, 2016[27]). The first pillar of the “Education Policy 2030” strategy focuses, in particular, on measures to accommodate multi-cultural school populations and differentiate teaching and support (OECD, 2021[28]) (see below). For the implementation of the strategy, additional government funding will be required to ensure that schools and teaching staff can meet the needs of migrant students.
Empirical evidence on educational peer effects is mixed. Several studies have looked at the impact of the presence of immigrant students on the school performance of native-born students, or all students. There are concerns, for instance, that teachers in classrooms with a high concentration of immigrant students may be overburdened or need to spend considerably more time on such students, which may lead to negative peer effects (OECD, 2016[26]). Empirical evidence on the topic is mixed (Mezzanotte, 2022[29]). For instance, cross-country analysis by (Seah, 2016[30]) shows a differential impact of immigrant peers across the three countries considered (Austria, Canada and the United States). In particular, exposure to immigrant students has a positive impact on Australian natives, while the impact is negative in the case of Canadian natives. Exposure has no effect on native students in the United States. Institutional factors, such as the organisation of educational systems, play a crucial role in how immigrant students affect their peers. For Iceland, empirical evidence based on immigrant background and the language spoken at home shows a smaller peer effect across primary school classes than the average of the six European countries (France, Germany, Iceland, Netherlands, Norway, and Sweden) considered (Ammermueller and Pischke, 2009[31]), but this evidence dates back to a time when the share of immigrants in the total population was much smaller.
2.4.4. The impact of immigration on the housing market
Immigration affects housing markets by adding not only to demand but also to supply, given the important contribution of immigrants to the construction sector (Figure 2.10). A priori, the increased demand for housing resulting from the arrival of immigrants would be expected to affect the dynamics of house prices and rents, but the magnitude of the impact depends on the elasticity of housing supply, and thereby on the housing/rent and construction regulations. The less elastic the supply the larger the impact of immigration, at least in the short run. Other parameters also affect house prices. Immigration, for instance, may influence the composition of housing demand, given that immigrants usually opt for inexpensive housing due to their relatively low incomes (Kalantaryan, 2013[32]). Moreover, rising immigration may lead to lower building costs, which increases incentives for the construction of new dwellings, affecting house price developments.
Other factors that go beyond population growth, such as credit conditions and expectations, should also be considered when assessing the impact of immigration on house prices, while at the local level such impact also depends on the mobility response by previous residents to increased immigration, which can attenuate the house price effect (Kalantaryan, 2013[32]; OECD, 2016[26]). At the same time, establishing causality is difficult as newly arrived immigrants tend to locate in regions with good economic prospects and thus likely rising house prices (OECD, 2016[26]). Estimating and predicting the impact of immigration on the dynamics of housing markets is therefore difficult.
Empirical evidence on the impact of immigration on house prices is also mixed. On the one hand, examining the drivers of the housing market boom between 2004 and 2007, (Elíasson, 2017[3]) shows that net immigration of 1% of the population results into a house price rise of between 4% to 6% in Iceland, a stronger impact, according to the author, than the estimated effect derived by studies for other countries, such as Spain. Empirical analysis by (Gonzalez and Ortega, 2013[33]) concluded that immigration in Spain is responsible for an increase in housing prices of about 2% annually. On the other hand, some studies have found that immigration has actually reduced house prices in areas where immigrants settled because of the mobility response of the native population (Cochrane and Poot, 2019[34]; Sá, 2015[35]). For instance, estimates by (Sá, 2015[35]) for the United Kingdom show that previous inhabitants at the top of the wage distribution leave high immigration areas and move to other regions.
2.4.5. The fiscal impact of immigration
Immigration has both costs and benefits for the budget. Most studies, however, suggest a limited net fiscal impact (Box 2.4). In the case of Iceland, available estimates suggest that immigration may well have a positive net fiscal impact, to the extent that immigrants contribute more in taxes and social contributions than they receive in benefits (Nyman and Ahlskog, 2018[36]; OECD, 2013[37]). The composition of the immigrant population matters (OECD, 2021[38]; OECD, 2013[37]). In countries where recent labour migrants account for a large part of the immigrant population, such as Iceland, immigrants tend to have a more favourable fiscal impact than in countries with longstanding immigrant populations, as in the former case immigrants are relatively young, and thereby do not burden pension expenditure. With the increased number of people seeking international protection and refugees, the direct fiscal costs have increased in recent years.
Another key determinant is the employment status of immigrants. While in most countries, governments tend to spend less on immigrants on a per capita basis than on natives, immigrants tend to make lower per capita contributions to public revenues than natives (OECD, 2021[38]). The less favourable contribution reflects the fact that immigrants often have lower employment rates and wages than natives. Reducing the gap in employment rates between immigrants and natives would therefore yield significant fiscal gains. These are estimated for instance at around 0.5% of GDP for Sweden and Denmark, with the yield rising with the level of education (OECD, 2021[38]). There are no specific estimates for Iceland, but overall immigrants already have higher activity rates than in Sweden and Denmark. Even so, improving labour market conditions for highly educated immigrants, including by addressing overqualification (see below), could yield important fiscal gains, especially in view of the favourable demographics of immigrants in the country, with most immigrants being of working age.
Box 2.4. Some international evidence on the fiscal impact of immigration
A number of studies have attempted to estimate the fiscal impact of immigration, using different approaches. Most found a small net fiscal impact.
Cross-country analysis (OECD, 2013[37]), also covering Iceland, for the period before the global financial crisis, estimates that the net fiscal contribution of immigrants is close to zero, on average, rarely deviating in one or the other direction by more than 0.5% of GDP. For Iceland, the study finds a high positive net fiscal contribution of around 1% of GDP, above the OECD average. A more recent OECD study (not covering Iceland) for the period 2006-18, also finds a persistently small total net fiscal contribution over the period, ranging between minus and plus 1% of GDP for most countries considered (OECD, 2021[38]). The study concludes that government expenditure on the foreign-born is 12% lower than on native-born on average across countries, whereas immigrants contribute, on average, 11% per capita less than the native-born.
A study by (Nyman and Ahlskog, 2018[36]), also covering Iceland, focuses on the fiscal effects of intra-EEA migration. It infers that most EEA countries (21 out of 29) saw a positive fiscal impact from intra-European migration. The net fiscal impact in almost all countries was relatively small, between plus and minus 0.4% of GDP. The study concluded that the total net impact for Iceland was not significantly different from zero.
Assessing the dynamic effects of an exogenous migration shock on a panel of 19 OECD countries for the period 1980-2015 (d’Albis, Boubtane and Coulibaly, 2019[15]) find that increased migration improves the fiscal balance, through its positive effect on GDP per capita (see above) and through a decrease in per capita net transfers from the government and per capita old-age public spending.
Using the tax-benefit microsimulation model of the European Union (EUROMOD), (Christl et al., 2021[39]) find that immigrants had a more positive net fiscal contribution in 2015 than the native-born. However, estimates for the net fiscal impact over the life cycle indicate a larger net fiscal impact for natives than migrants, especially in the case of extra-EU migrants, even though the results vary considerably across EU member states.
An OECD review of recent country studies for EU members shows that the overall fiscal impact is small, with the findings further revealing a lower fiscal contribution for the non-EU immigrants compared to their counterparts from the EU group probably due to lower employment rates for the former group (OECD, 2021[38]). In France, evidence for the period 1979-2011 suggests that the net contribution of EU immigrants declined over the period, as a result of the ageing of immigrant population.
The broader economic consequences of immigration and its fiscal impact depend critically on the integration of immigrants. Appropriate policies that facilitate labour market integration of immigrants and improve the educational outcomes of their children, as well as the provision of adequate social and affordable housing, are of key importance as they largely condition other aspects of integration, shaping the economic role of immigration and helping to harness the potential benefits. Such areas also receive particular attention in the government’s four-year Action Policy Plan on Immigration Issues, covering the period 2022-25, with an overall objective to ensure equal opportunities and promote active participation in the labour market and society regardless of origin (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). Ensuring successful integration, inclusion and social cohesion requires coordinated efforts by all stakeholders namely the government, municipalities and employers.
2.5. Improving the labour market integration of immigrants
2.5.1. On average, immigrants have worse labour market outcomes than natives
The participation rate of the foreign-born population is the highest among OECD countries and somewhat above the corresponding rate for the native-born (Figure 2.19). Moreover, Iceland has the narrowest employment gap between natives and foreign-born nationals among the Nordic countries, with relatively small differences in employment status between EU and non-EU nationals. Nonetheless, foreign-born workers face much higher unemployment than natives. The share of foreign-born nationals in registered unemployment has increased steadily since the mid-2000s, reaching 50% in 2022. Disaggregated data suggest that the unemployment gap between foreign-born and native-born persists across different age groups, although the foreign-born in Iceland, especially in the case of youth, have lower unemployment rates than their EU counterparts on average (Figure 2.20).
Gender differences in the labour market performance of immigrants, as reflected in the registered unemployment data, are very small, despite the fact that foreign-born women tend to be better educated than foreign-born men (Figure 2.20 and Figure 2.9). This may reflect the fact that women with an immigrant background are less likely to work in low-skilled occupations where is usually an excess demand for labour as they have on average a higher education level than their male counterparts (OECD, 2020[40]). At the same time, it is welcome that immigrants in Iceland have the same access to childcare facilities as the natives, especially as it is likely that women with a foreign background lack support of family networks in the host country.
A much larger proportion of immigrants are over-qualified compared to natives, implying that many of these workers do not meet their potential (Figure 2.21, Panel A). In 2021, more than 40% of the highly educated immigrants worked in a job below their formal qualification level, over 30 percentage points above the rate of natives. Over-qualification is particularly widespread among the foreign-born who have more recently settled in the country and non-EU immigrants who are foreign-educated. In addition, while overall employment rates for immigrants and natives do not differ much, the former group underperforms when looking at the highly-educated workers (Figure 2.21, Panel B).
The less favourable labour market outcomes of immigrant workers compared to natives may be due to several inter-related factors. For instance, as discussed above, immigrants tend to be concentrated in sectors with high volatility, such as construction and tourism, thereby being disproportionally affected by economic shocks. Moreover, immigrants often work on temporary projects and become unemployed at their completion (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). At the same time, skills differences between immigrant workers and natives, and especially the poor linguistic skills of immigrants, make it difficult for them to move between jobs or to another field with higher linguistic requirements. The pandemic highlighted the more vulnerable position of immigrants in the labour market. According to a recent study, immigrants fared worse than their native counterparts in 2020 in terms of job opportunities, and especially job-security (Karlsson, 2022[41]). The findings for other labour market indicators included in the study, namely choice of employment, opportunities for self-employment and real incomes, also indicated that immigrants were affected disproportionally by the pandemic, with lower perceived happiness levels among immigrants than natives.
Immigrants tend to have some wage disadvantage compared to natives. A study by Statistics Iceland finds a wage differential of around 8%, on average, over the period 2008-17 after controlling for individual characteristics and various employment-related factors (Statistics Iceland, 2019[42]; Statistics Iceland, 2019[43]). The pay differential varies by occupation, with the higher earning gaps found in low-skilled occupations such as cafeteria assistants and cleaning staff, by country of origin, as well as by length of stay in Iceland, with the gap declining over the years following the arrival. The gap in earnings between immigrant and native workers remains, irrespective of the educational level, according to the findings. Nonetheless, a large part of the wage differential remains unexplained. Cross-country analyses also suggests that, by international comparison, Iceland has a relatively large share of the native-to-immigrant wage gap that cannot be explained on the basis of productivity differentials (Cupak, Ciaian. and d’Artis, 2021[44]). Natives seem to still earn around 13% more than immigrants after controlling for productivity differentials, according to the results. The study attributes the unexplained wage gap and its variation across the examined countries to several factors, including labour market discrimination, penalties associated with non-standard forms of employment (e.g. part-time, temporary employment), imperfect transferability of skills (education and experience) and language proficiency.
2.5.2. Providing effective language training to adult immigrants
Early intervention yields important benefits in terms of integration. Evidence for EU countries suggests that language courses for recently arrived non-native speakers can increase by 8 percentage points the likelihood of proficiency in the host language, with concomitant employment benefits (OECD, 2021[45]). Supporting the rapid acquisition of language skills is also essential for the successful integration of refugees who intend to stay.
Participation in language training is not mandatory, but a variety of language learning courses are available for adult immigrants in Iceland, with applicants for international protection also being eligible for such training. Language learning courses are offered by a number of providers including by Landnemaskólinn (The Settlers School), where the courses are organised by the trade unions, as well as by various education institutions and in the context of the certified programmes of further education (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). Language schools are funded privately and through government grants (Hoffmann et al., 2021[46]). More specifically, accredited education providers offering Icelandic language courses which are not part of a general curriculum in the public school system can apply for grants from the Icelandic Centre for Research (Rannís). Government support is granted only for courses recognised by the Directorate of Labour.
There is scope to make adult language training more effective. Around 60% of immigrants covered by a survey in 2018 reported dissatisfaction with the language courses received, generally expressing a preference for courses that are better aligned to their daily needs (Hoffmann et al., 2021[46]). Other frequently cited shortcomings included a lack of in-class evaluations for the levels of language proficiency and of an official language certificate that could be used in job applications. There are also regional disparities in the provision of Icelandic language training, with fewer courses in rural areas. A comprehensive approach to language training for adult immigrants is required. In other Nordic countries, language training is a part of the introduction programmes for immigrants (Nordic Council of Ministers, 2019[47]). In Norway, for instance, around 60% of refugees leaving the Introduction Programme in a specific year were employed or engaged in education one year after the programme, according to Statistics Norway. A study from the Institute for Social Research further concluded that refugees who participated in the Introduction Programme do better in terms of employment, welfare dependency and the level of income compared to their counterparts who did not participate in such programmes (Røed et al., 2019[48]).
A clearly defined framework for language training of adult immigrants, defining accessibility and quality standards, as well as the role and responsibilities of stakeholders, is essential for achieving involvement of all partners and ensuring effective integration. It is important that publicly-supported language training programmes are flexible in terms of structure in order to be compatible with participants’ work and family obligations. As noted above, a lack of flexibility was identified as one of the main shortcomings of the language training for adult immigrants in Iceland. Australia, Canada and New Zealand offer a range of language training options including part-time, evening and distance learning, while combining them with free childcare (OECD, 2021[45]).
Making language training for adult immigrants a part of a comprehensive approach to immigrant integration, rather than as an isolated skill to develop, is key. A new OECD report highlights that combining language instruction and vocational training has proven to be more effective in terms of future integration than providing trainings in parallel (OECD, 2023[49]). Several countries provide vocation-specific courses, including Denmark and Sweden. Iceland has been offering work-related language courses during working hours since 2003, largely funded by the government in cooperation with unions and employers. More systematic provision of language courses by Icelandic employers would further enhance the labour market relevance of training, in addition to improving the linguistic skills of employees with an immigrant background. Including language training in activation programmes is an additional way to help immigrants’ labour market integration (OECD, 2021[45]). The right of all jobseekers under the Public Employment Service (PES) to attend two Icelandic courses per year for free is a welcome initiative that needs to continue.
To reach a greater number of immigrants, regional disparities in the provision of language training and/or obstacles related to its financial cost for immigrants need to be addressed. Increasing the provision of online language training would be important in this regard, helping to deal with under-provision in the rural areas (see above). It is crucial to ensure that cost is not an obstacle to participation in language training. Iceland does not provide free accredited language courses for immigrants but union members can get a large part (around 75%) of the fee reimbursed. There is no clear-cut answer according to a recent OECD report (OECD, 2021[45]) as to whether or not language courses for adult immigrants should be free of charge, with varying cross-country experience in this area. Language courses are provided free of charge in Finland and Sweden, and reimbursement options are available in Denmark. The OECD report highlights, however, the need for the financing models to guarantee the affordability of courses for eligible learners, while also including incentives for performance by providers, as is the case for the results-based financing system used in Denmark (OECD, 2021[45]). Under this system, providers are paid half the tuition fee prior to the course and half after the individual migrant has passed the course exam, with the potential to contribute to more efficient course outcomes. Financing models should also ensure incentives for students to participate in the courses.
There is scope to increase the quality of language training for adult immigrants. There were some positive moves in recent years towards improving teacher training, including through the introduction in 2016 of the Master’s degree in Second Language Teaching, and the adoption of curricular guidelines in 2008 and 2012 to standardise language teaching (Hoffmann et al., 2021[46]). Nonetheless, there are still no formal requirements for teachers of Icelandic as a second language. Such teachers, in particular, are not required to have a degree or training in teaching Icelandic to adults as a second language and as a result, their education background and professional experience can vary considerably. In addition, some studies conclude that that the government curricula guidelines have not been implemented rigorously so far, which may inhibit the standardisation of courses (Hoffmann et al., 2021[46]; Innes, 2020[50]).
Increasing quality also requires that language courses are developed further and reformed to better meet the different skills and learning speeds of the immigrants, while introducing student evaluation in language training to help immigrants improve their learning outcomes. The recent OECD report (OECD, 2021[45]) refers in this context to the modular system operated by Sweden and Denmark as an example of high-quality, personalised language courses to a diverse group of learners. Such a system organises learning in consecutive modules with increasingly advanced learning goals, enabling migrants aiming to continue beyond the integration targets to reach their personal or professional objectives. A modular system also better takes into account the linguistic diversity and training needs of refugees (OECD, 2016[51]). A better co-ordination of language training providers is also crucial for improving quality. There is also a need to review the curricula for Icelandic as a second language and for their implementation to be reinforced (see above), while defining competency levels in line with the European language framework, as done in the other Nordic countries (Nordic Council of Ministers, 2023[52]). It is important, in this context, that the government go ahead with the preparation of quality standards for Icelandic teaching, improving coherence (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]), while also defining formal requirements for language teachers. Ensuring adequate funding for Icelandic language teaching, including for teacher preparation, is essential, in tandem with developing rigorous evaluation mechanisms to regularly assess the outcomes in terms of language proficiency and labour market integration of immigrants. The announced increase of government funding to support language training for immigrants is welcome, especially in view of rising immigration.
2.5.3. Ensuring efficient and timely assessment procedures for skills recognition
Greater transferability of skills obtained abroad can help reduce skills mismatch and overqualification. The recognition of immigrants’ education credentials in Iceland is complex as the underlying procedures are often not sufficiently transparent and also due to the large number of actors involved, with over 10 different bodies in charge of assessing different types of credentials (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). Under current arrangements, the ENIC/NARIC network (operated by the University of Iceland) is responsible for the recognition of academic qualifications, while the recognition of qualifications in regulated professions is granted by the appropriate competent authority in charge for the licenses in this field (Government of Iceland, 2023[54]). Immigrants need to navigate a complex system to find the right body responsible for recognising their qualifications, and the finalisation of assessment procedures takes longer than in other Nordic countries ̶ three months on average in 2016 ̶ although such data do not capture more recent improvements (OECD, 2017[55]).
Immigrants from non-EEA countries face relatively demanding recognition conditions for their qualifications and additional procedural hurdles. They need to ascertain equivalence with corresponding education provided in Iceland, which is not the case for their peers from EEA countries (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). Navigating the system to obtain information on assessment and recognition of foreign qualifications is difficult for such groups due to language barriers. At the same time, the current system does not seem to provide sufficient guidance to applicants, even though Iceland maintains an information portal online explaining recognition requirements and procedures. Immigrants from the non-EEA countries frequently express concerns about a lack of information on the conditions to be met when applying for foreign credential recognition and a work permit (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). Complexity may discourage immigrants from seeking to have their qualifications assessed and recognised, increasing the likelihood of over-qualification.
Ensuring timely recognition and assessment procedures is essential for enhancing effectiveness. This would avoid having immigrants unemployed or in jobs that do not match their qualifications for long periods. Norway and Sweden have developed novel approaches to speed up recognition procedures (OECD, 2017[55]) (Box 2.5). Norway’s scheme provides a pre-arrival fast-track assessment of foreign higher education credentials, which combines speed with high evaluation standards. Sweden’s scheme aims to accelerate the entry of skilled immigrants into shortage occupations. International experience can provide valuable guidance for speeding up the process for hiring foreign experts to meet the labour needs of the ICT sector as envisaged by the legislative proposal under way (see above). Other countries have also taken steps to accelerate the recognition procedures. Australia, for instance, has introduced a pre-arrival assessment of foreign qualification since 1999, while Canada is providing relevant information and exam preparation material to international trained individuals prior to arrival (OECD, 2017[55]). In addition, in Canada’s case, many occupations have offshore exams capacity to speed up the provision of licences.
Box 2.5. Fast-track schemes for recognition: some lessons from Norway and Sweden
Norway developed a “turbo-evaluation” for employers in 2014, which entails a fast-track assessment of the candidate’s foreign higher education credentials (OECD, 2017[55]). This makes it easier for employers to assess job applicants with foreign education. Interested employers fill in an online application form containing the applicant’s education credentials, his or her CV and written authorisation. Evaluation is carried out by NOKUT (the Norwegian Agency for Quality Assurance in Education) within five working days and is free of charge. This is a non-binding evaluation and only for the job at hand.
Sweden has introduced a fast-track programme to speed up the entry of skilled immigrants into shortage occupations including engineering, teaching, technical occupations and the medical profession (OECD, 2017[55]). The objective of the programme is to combine recognition of foreign credentials and prior learning with workplace training and language lessons to provide an occupational certificate. The aim of the training process is to lead to a job that fits the participant’s skills and qualifications. Tripartite fast-track discussions are under way in a number of sectors.
The skills recognition system needs to become more user-friendly and transparent. Clear rules regarding eligibility requirements for the recognition of foreign qualifications and well-coordinated assessment processes among the bodies involved, along with easily accessible information and guidance for immigrants on how to obtain recognition are essential to reduce complexity and improve effectiveness. The establishment of a one-stop shop offering multiple services would very helpful. Several countries have established such contact points. Based on international experience, in addition to informing applicants on how to obtain skills recognition, one-stop shops accept their initial applications and pass them directly to the bodies in charge of the process (OECD, 2017[55]). They also assemble information and provide advice to the applicants and stakeholders, strengthening the system and enhancing transparency. All holders of foreign qualifications in Denmark are entitled under the Assessment of Foreign Qualification Act to an assessment through the central recognition agency (OECD, 2023[49]). In Sweden, a coordinating body, established in 2013, serves as a one-stop shop for all types of qualifications, while the online portal in Germany refers the applicants to competent authorities and provides information in various languages (OECD, 2017[55]).
2.5.4. Helping immigrants gain job experience
Gaining job experience is a pathway to successful integration, and active labour market programmes (ALMPs) that combine work experience and on-the job training have proven to be effective instruments (OECD, 2014[56]). Based on available evaluations, private-sector incentive schemes appear to be a successful measure for immigrants. A meta-analysis of 33 empirical studies for the European countries concluded that wage subsidies work better than other active labour market programmes targeted to immigrants and that they also have positive employment effects on immigrants in the short run (Butschek and Walter, 2014[57]). A recent review, focusing on the larger Nordic countries, also confirms that subsidised private-sector employment is the most effective activation programme for promoting the employment of immigrants, at least in the short run (Calmfors and Sánchez Gassen, 2019[58]). The impact of labour market training on employment outcomes appears to be lager in the medium to longer term, according to the review. In Iceland, jobseekers who have been unemployed for over three months are generally entitled to a recruitment grant (wage subsidy) for up to six months. In 2022, 43% of the beneficiaries were foreign citizens, including immigrants and refugees.
A careful design is required for wage subsidies. While such schemes can be an effective tool for improving the employability of low-skilled workers, they may involve the risk of crowding out unsubsidised hires, when employers choose to rely on subsidised labour rather than regular contracts and are reluctant to offer a permanent job to programme participants when subsidies expire. This problem could be addressed, however, by targeting the subsidies at the jobseekers most in need, using the subsidy schemes on a temporary basis and making them conditional on not substituting existing workers with those receiving a subsidy (OECD, 2014[56]). Moreover, providing information about the subsidy schemes in different languages is important.
The Directorate of Labour (VMST) plays a role in the labour market integration of immigrants by providing job-search support, connecting jobseekers with a foreign background with employers, and enhancing their employability through active labour market policies (ALMPs). Efforts towards VMST modernisation need to continue, along with the development of a solid set of performance indicators to evaluate and monitor the effectiveness of the provided activation programmes, as was recommended in an earlier OECD Economic Survey (OECD, 2019[59]).
As a step forward, the counselling services provided to jobseekers have been re-organised recently, with a view to limit long-term joblessness (Box 2.6). Such reform is particularly important for jobseekers with an immigrant background who have a greater need for support than their Icelandic-speaking counterparts. In addition, a variety of courses are provided to help jobseekers develop their skills and abilities, which can further facilitate the labour market integration of immigrants. Moreover, an immigration counselling office was established in 2021. The increased focus on the labour market support for immigrants is welcome. Some countries, such as Austria and the United Kingdom, have targeted immigrants and their children for ALMPs, enabling Public Employment Services (corresponding to VMST in Iceland) to allocate more resources to jobseekers with an immigrant background in the form of training and/or increased provision of individualised services (OECD, 2014[56]). In Norway, immigrants are given priority to participate in labour market programmes, with several studies inferring that participation in different programmes increases the transition into employment among immigrants (Directorate of Labour and Welfare, 2023[60]). Providing more training courses in languages other than Icelandic would be advisable as it would help the job search activity of immigrants and promote their participation in activation measures, facilitating labour-market integration. Empirical analysis for the larger Nordic countries concludes that while spending on ALMPs helps reducing unemployment among natives, it has a much higher impact on foreign-born unemployment, thereby narrowing the gap between the two groups (IMF, 2015[19]).
Box 2.6. Recent reforms to strengthen the services provided to jobseekers
The counselling services have recently been reformed, and they are now organised according to the length of unemployment, with a view to limit long-term joblessness. All jobseekers need to answer a screening list when they have been unemployed for two months. Frontline interviews are set up for those who are deemed to need little support. If more support is needed, jobseekers are interviewed by a career counsellor. Every jobseeker who has been continuously unemployed for 12 months will get an assessment interview, a job search plan, and individualised support with more help to find a job, reskilling or rehabilitation. The counselling services provided are the same for all jobseekers in Iceland, regardless of the area they live.
A variety of courses are also provided to help jobseekers develop their skills and abilities. These include self-empowerment courses, career development, Icelandic courses, certified study paths in collaboration with lifelong learning centres and special projects for young job seekers.
To help immigrants in a more effective way, an immigration counselling office was set up in February 2021. The ultimate purpose is to reach out to more immigrants and provide them with a contact point on integration, including acquiring information regarding labour market opportunities. As a further welcome step, a 2023 law has merged the Multicultural and Information Centre, offering assistance and counselling, with the Directorate of Labour (see Box 2.2).
Source: (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]).
2.5.5. Fostering employment of immigrants in the public sector
More and better-quality jobs for immigrants in the public sector are an important lever to support their integration in the labour market, as well as society. While above the OECD average, the share of immigrants in public service employment is lower than that of natives and than in the other Nordic countries (Figure 2.22). The native-immigrant employment gap stood at around 7½ percentage points in 2020, indicating that the presence of immigrants in public employment can be strengthened. Survey results suggest, for instance, a relatively high rejection rate (at around 40%) for immigrants’ applications for public sector jobs (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). The results also reveal differences between the public and private sectors in terms of qualification mismatches. Around 28% of the survey participants who were employed in the private sector worked in their field of expertise, compared to 18.5% in the case of their counterparts employed in the public sector.
There are various barriers to the employment of educated immigrants in the Icelandic public sector. Poor linguistic skills are a significant obstacle, but other factors, such as unfavourable practices, for instance discrimination, also limit the employment opportunities of immigrants (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). As a welcome step, Iceland has removed legal restrictions to foreign nationals working in the public sector, following changes in anti-discriminatory legislation in 2018. Nonetheless, awareness about the law among immigrants seems to be low, suggesting a need to further strengthen the implementation and monitoring of the new anti-discrimination legislation and enhancing transparency in the recruitment process of immigrants in the public sector (Réttur Aðalsteinsson & Partners, 2019[53]). Improvements in the recognition procedures of the qualifications obtained abroad is also essential (see above).
Several countries have promoted the employment of immigrants in the public sector. These include, for example, the introduction of a benchmark, usually as part of broader equal employment policies, for the equitable representation of immigrants and their children at all levels of the public sector (OECD, 2014[56]). In Norway, for instance, public sector institutions are required to set targets for the recruitment of candidates with a foreign background and develop recruitment plans towards achieving these targets (OECD, 2014[56]). In addition, the country has introduced legal obligations for the public sector to interview immigrants. These initiatives have helped to improve the representation of immigrants in the public sector, according to a recent OECD report (OECD, 2022[61]). Denmark’s 2003 diversity agenda also set up an equity benchmark, requiring all state and municipal governments to have a roughly proportional representation of people with a migrant background (i.e. immigrants and second generation), with specific targets (Liebig, 2007[62]; OECD, 2014[56]). Moreover, a regular employment statistics watch has been put in place. Based on international practice, there is room for Iceland to develop a specific strategy that fosters the employment of immigrants in the public sector. Setting indicative targets for the share of immigrants in public employment or new hirings would be advisable, while developing mechanisms to monitor the outcomes of such policies.
2.5.6. Strengthening immigrants’ skills through adult learning and bridging courses
The participation of immigrants in adult learning compares well internationally (Figure 2.23). Overall, non-EU immigrants participate more in adult learning than their EU peers, also exceeding somewhat the share of natives. This is welcome in view of the important role of such learning for re-skilling and enhancing the productivity of low-skilled workers. At the same time, there is scope to close the gap with the Nordic peers by encouraging further participation, especially among immigrants from EU countries.
Iceland should continue to pursue a more comprehensive approach to adult learning that better takes into account the training needs of immigrants (OECD, 2021[63]). It is important, in this context, to strengthen the system of Validation of Prior Learning (VPL) and ensure an effective access of immigrants. This would facilitate re-entry into the formal school system for workers with a foreign background who lack a formal educational degree. A recent report recommends to make the VPL system more accessible to immigrants by translating existing validation tools into other languages, based on the analysis of needs, while also developing a guidance and assistance system at a national level to help them through the validation process (Guðmundsdóttir et al., 2020[64]). It is also very important to develop pathways between the VPL and formal education for individuals with a foreign background who wish to complete their formal educational qualification after the validation process. At present, the system does not offer specific educational opportunities for such individuals. Provision of language support during the period of studies following the validation of competences could help bridge this gap and strengthening such pathways (Guðmundsdóttir et al., 2020[64]).
For the adult learning programmes to be effective in improving labour market outcomes, especially among immigrants, they should lead to certification and be accompanied by clearly defined career paths (OECD, 2014[56]). Such programmes should also be flexible enough to correspond to the needs of immigrant workers and be well advertised and explained to enhance incentives for re-skilling. Carefully designed financial incentives could be provided to encourage participation in adult learning among immigrants (OECD, 2021[63]). Individual Learning Accounts (ILAs), for instance, have received growing attention in recent years as they facilitate career transitions. France and the Netherlands, for example, have introduced financial incentives in the form of ILAs that allow for portability of the training rights between jobs and also employment statuses (OECD, 2019[65]).
Moving towards the formal provision of bridging courses would be advisable. Such courses give foreign-educated immigrants the opportunity to train, helping them to quickly close skills gaps and secure a host-country qualification in their field (OECD, 2014[56]; OECD, 2017[55]). As such, bridging courses would benefit non-EEA immigrants whose qualifications are usually not fully equivalent to a domestic degree. In Iceland, at present, bridging is dealt with on a case-by-case base rather than through formal programmes (OECD, 2017[55]). Moving towards a formal provision, would help to speed up the labour market integration of immigrants. Bridging programmes are also cost effective if they enable immigrants to quicky re-qualify. For instance, evidence from a bridging programme for foreign-trained nurses in Australia suggests that it cost only 10% of the alternative training that would be provided through higher education (Konno, 2006[66]). Bridging courses can be particularly effective when they combine tailored professional training with language instruction and mentoring and when all relevant stakeholders are engaged (OECD, 2014[56]).
2.6. Enhancing the educational outcomes of immigrants’ children
2.6.1. A large gap remains between the school performance of immigrant and native students
Immigrant students in compulsory education underperform their native counterparts by a wide margin, according to 2018 PISA (Performance for International Student Assessment) results, despite some improvement and Iceland’s very equitable education system (Figure 2.2 and Figure 2.24). Underperformance persists, even after accounting for socio-economic backgrounds. The 2018 PISA findings for reading literacy show a score difference of 55 points, which is equivalent to around a year of schooling, more than twice the corresponding OECD average and above Denmark and Norway (Figure 2.25). The outcomes are weaker for first- than second-generation immigrants. Only 7% of immigrant students in Iceland attained the top-quarter of performance in reading, and can thus be considered “academically resilient”, compared to the 17% OECD average. Although, as in other countries, there are important differences in academic resilience across different groups of students with an immigrant background (Cerna, Brussino and Mezzanotte, 2021[67]), the overall share remains low in international comparison.
The weak educational performance of immigrant students is also evidenced by other indicators, including relatively low enrolments in upper-secondary education compared to native peers, and higher upper-secondary dropout rates, although the gaps have narrowed somewhat in recent years (Figure 2.26). Around half of those immigrant students who entered upper-secondary education for the first time in 2016 had not graduated after four years, compared to less than 10% among students with no foreign background. This gap may be overestimated, however, as some of the foreign students might have been exchange students or immigrants returning to their countries, rather than dropping out from school. Upper-secondary dropouts among immigrants are also high, however, in comparison to the Nordic peers, and this is the case for both men and women. OECD cross-country evidence suggests that students with poor academic achievements in school do not generally catch up later in life, highlighting the need to strengthen the learning outcomes for immigrant students.
Further improving the participation rates of immigrant students in upper-secondary education, which lag those in Nordic peers except Denmark (Figure 2.26), would also help to reduce the share of young people with an immigration background who are not in employment, education or training (NEET). Approximately 13% of youth (16-24 years old) with a foreign background (including individuals born abroad with both parents Icelandic) belonged to the NEET group in 2020 compared to around 9% among natives over the period 2014-20 (Varða, 2021[68]). Youths with a foreign background tend be more vulnerable to external factors, such as the economic situation in the communities, and other risk factors compared to their native counterparts, that can reflect the weaker integration of immigrant students.
A comprehensive reform approach is required to improve student outcomes that calls for specific initiatives focusing on areas of particular concern, notably weak reading skills, as well as measures to strengthen the vocational skills of immigrant students and ensure teachers’ preparedness to accommodate students’ diverse needs, with teaching quality at the core. These are discussed below along with the government’s initiatives under its longer-term education strategy.
2.6.2. Improving the language skills of students with an immigrant background
A draft policy proposal recommends the provision of appropriate Icelandic lessons for students with diverse linguistic backgrounds, along with well-targeted support from the start of kindergarten, or upon arrival in the country (Ministry of Education and Culture, 2020[69]). Assessing the level of language skills before the provision of formal learning is also considered important to meet the linguistic needs of children with a foreign background. Continuity of learning and a well-coordinated policy on multicultural school work, as well as effective training of teachers to adapt to new work methods and practice (see below) were seen by the draft policy proposal as additional prerequisites of success
The new long-term educational strategy, Education Policy 2030 (Box 2.7), pays particular attention to students with a diverse linguistic background. The first action plan, covering 2021-24, envisages an increase in the publication of diverse study material for students with Icelandic as a second language and increased access to specialised pedagogical support, notably expert advice, at all school levels throughout the country and for all age groups. Such measures are accompanied by actions promoting teacher training (see below). The government also plans to develop standardised tests to monitor students’ progress in Icelandic and other foreign languages.
The reforms go in the right direction and should be implemented within the envisaged timelines. Regular assessments of linguistic skills provide useful information on students’ achievement at different school stages, enhancing the capacity for diagnosing reading difficulties. Diverse study material can better meet the needs of immigrant students. Such material should be readily accessible electronically. Appropriate Icelandic lessons and well-targeted support for students with a foreign background at an early stage, as was also recommended by the draft policy proposal (see above), is essential for building up solid educational foundations. A recent study concludes, for instance, that while immigrant status and other socioeconomic factors, notably the education level of parents, play an important role in explaining the relatively high dropouts from upper-secondary education of immigrant students, addressing the problem hinges upon strengthening academic performance at the compulsory school level (Stefánsson and Eyjólfsson, 2022[70]).
Revisions under way to the National Curriculum Guide for Compulsory School, with increased emphasis on Icelandic as a second language, are also welcome and should continue. The new curricula should take into account the different standards and learning experiences of students, helping those with diverse linguistic and cultural backgrounds to develop their potential. A recent OECD report (OECD, 2023[71]) on equity and inclusion in education calls for curricula flexibility to enable schools to develop solutions for local problems responding better to students’ needs, while highlighting the need to combine such flexibility with adaptive instruction and enhanced activities, in order to avoid its potential adverse impacts on students’ performance. It is also important to ensure that information about the school programme and activities is easily accessible and available in more languages than Icelandic to help parents respond better to the educational needs of their children (Ministry of Education and Culture, 2020[69]).
Box 2.7. Education Policy 2030: main features
A ten-year education strategy, Education Policy 2030, was approved in March 2021 with an overarching objective to ensure a dynamic and flexible education system that can drive economic and social change. The policy will be implemented in three stages over the envisaged 10-year period. The first phase, currently under implementation, is set to be completed in 2024. The strategy covers all levels of education, including teacher education. It includes five pillars, under which further objectives are described. In particular:
Equal opportunities for all: the first pillar focuses on equity, including areas related to catering to the needs of all students, the geographical distribution of education provision, diversity, and early learning opportunities.
Superior teaching: the second pillar focuses on areas related to the teaching profession, teachers’ competence development, innovation, as well as teachers’ working conditions.
Skills for the future: this pillar includes focus on areas related to development of a range of skills that are considered to be of key importance for the future of Iceland, including Icelandic proficiency, science, technical education, creativity, digitalisation and lifelong learning.
Putting well-being first: the fourth pillar focuses on well-being, including areas to enhance student mental health.
Quality at the forefront: the fifth pillar focuses on strengthening quality assurance across the education system, including focus areas related to reinforcing student assessments and accountability and the efficient use of resources.
Source: (OECD, 2021[28]).
2.6.3. Equipping immigrant students with solid vocational skills
Higher participation in vocational education and training (VET) would help immigrant students to develop their skills. By providing an alternative school partway, VET can contribute to reducing high dropout rates among immigrant students, re-engaging early school leavers in education (OECD, 2019[59]; OECD, 2023[71]). The VET system in Iceland has relatively low participation rates (Figure 2.27). The scope for strengthening engagement remains large, especially for immigrant students where the benefits of VET appear to be stronger (Jeon, 2019[72]). The government has announced its intention to prioritise funding for the VET system in its Medium-Term Fiscal Plan.
Increasing the uptake of VET by immigrant students hinges upon effective preparation courses and making VET a more attractive education pathway. Many students with an immigrant background complete elementary school with low grades and have weak foundational skills, making entry to upper-secondary VET difficult. It is important, in this context, to monitor regularly the effectiveness of preparatory courses available to students with an inadequate preparation for either the vocational or general tracks. Outcomes should be assessed not only in terms of entry rates of immigrant students into upper-secondary education, and in particular the vocational stream, but as well on the basis of completion rates. The government could also consider the introduction of pre-apprenticeship programmes to support VET students at risk of dropping out, in line with international experience (OECD, 2023[71]). France, for instance, has recently introduced a pre-apprenticeship programme (prépa-apprentissage) that aims to identify and address basic and employability skill gaps before starting an apprenticeship. The two-year ‘EBA’ apprenticeships (Grundbildung mit Eidgenössischem Berufsattest) programme in Switzerland focusses on youth who face difficulties in school, struggle to find a three or four-year apprenticeship, or who are at risk of dropping out. Such programmes provide additional support and coaching (OECD, 2023[71]).
At the same time, the VET system needs to be strengthened by extending work-based learning and ensuring availability of apprenticeships, especially for immigrant students. This would help to increase the labour market relevance of VET, equipping students with solid practical skills. Previous Surveys called, in this context, for a better integration between the school- and work-components of VET, and against this background, for extending work-based learning to service sectors, such as digital technology or tourism, given the importance of these sectors in the economy. In tandem, firms must be encouraged to offer apprenticeship contracts. As a welcome step, the Icelandic Student Centre (a student agency for industry) was established in 2022 with the aim to increase the number of companies offering apprenticeships (Government of Iceland, 2022[73]). The agency is a collaborative effort of the industry associations. Ensuring placements of students with an immigrant background needs to be among its priorities in view of the high upper secondary dropout rates of such students.
As an additional positive initiative towards strengthening the VET system, a recent reform has increased the pathways of VET students towards tertiary education, including by facilitating access to universities (OECD, 2021[63]).
2.6.4. Preparing teachers to address the educational needs of immigrant students
There is a need to better prepare teachers to accommodate the diverse educational needs in classrooms and help immigrant students. Teaching plays a key role for the quality of educational outcomes. Around a quarter of lower-secondary teachers in Iceland teach in schools with linguistically diverse students, according to the results of the 2018 OECD Teaching and Learning International Survey (TALIS) ̶ above the OECD average (OECD, 2019[74]) (Figure 2.28). However, most teachers reported that they did not feel equipped to teach in a multicultural or multilingual setting upon finishing their initial teacher education or training, with 20% of them reporting a high need for professional development, exceeding the OECD average and corresponding share in 2013.
Initial teacher education (ITE) programmes should have stronger diversity-related content, helping to prepare novice teachers for the realities of the classroom. The share of teachers who reported that teaching in multicultural and multilingual settings was included in their ITE is below the OECD average (Figure 2.28). In line with practice in other European countries, ITE curricula in some Icelandic universities contain standalone courses regarding diversity issues. However, a recent OECD report highlights that such an approach is less effective in preparing new teachers for diverse classrooms than when equity and inclusion are embedded in the ITE curriculum as central and cross-cutting themes (OECD, 2023[71]). Making teaching for students with a foreign background a part of the initial ITE in Iceland would be advisable. The government could further consider incorporating knowledge and skills related to diversity and inclusion into the required competences and standards for the graduation of new teachers (OECD, 2023[71]). In Australia, for instance, in order to obtain their ITE qualification, student teachers are required to demonstrate a solid understanding of diversity and inclusion in the classroom and show preparedness for the adoption of differentiated teaching to meet diverse educational needs (OECD, 2023[71]).
Strengthening professional development is also essential to ensure effective teaching for multicultural classrooms. Most teachers in Iceland participated in some kind of in-service training, according to 2018 TALIS findings, but less than a quarter had undertaken training in multicultural or multilingual education in the year preceding the survey, despite the reported high and rising training needs, although this share compares well internationally (Figure 2.28). A better matching of professional development opportunities to teachers’ needs is important. Encouragingly, the government has recently introduced short-term courses for teachers to enhance their ability to accommodate diverse educational needs. Requiring teachers’ feedback on the training programmes offered, along with a close monitoring of teachers’ participation in such programmes, would help to ensure effective in-service training and teaching practices in a context of increasing diversity in classrooms (OECD, 2023[71]). Indeed, research suggests that participation in continuous learning is more likely when teachers are given the opportunity to influence the substance and process of professional development (Forghani-Arani, Cerna and Bannon, 2019[75]).
Ongoing reforms to improve the quality of teaching are welcome. The qualification framework introduced in 2020 sets the criteria for general and specialised qualifications and provides guidance for professional development and teacher re-training (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). Going forward, developing a systematic evaluation of teachers is essential to ensure that the diverse educational needs of students are accommodated. At the same time, it is important to meet demands for qualified teaching staff in rural communities with a rapidly growing immigrant population (see above).
2.7. Meeting the housing needs of immigrants
2.7.1. Immigrants incur burdensome housing costs and face poorer housing conditions
Housing affordability has become an issue in Iceland, including for immigrants. Rising prices of owner-occupied houses have pushed up rents as well, thereby increasingly burdening immigrants’ budgets, who live mostly in rented dwellings (Figure 2.29). The burden of rent payments in Iceland is well above the OECD average, like in the other Nordic countries (Figure 2.30). The share of low-income tenants in the private market who are overburdened, that is spending over 40% of their disposable income on housing, is also standing out in international comparison. Recent IMF analysis for Iceland concludes that, overall, housing affordability pressures are higher for tenants than homeowners (IMF, 2022[76]). In addition, research by Statistics Iceland shows that relatively more immigrants than natives experience burdensome housing costs (Statistics Iceland, 2019[77]).
The supply of affordable housing appears to lag rising demand (Chapter 1). This includes social housing, an important dimension of affordable housing provision. In particular, Iceland is among the countries with a “moderately-sized social housing stock”, according to the OECD definition, which may not be sufficient to match the needs of an increasing immigrant population (Figure 2.31). The provision of social housing in Iceland is under the responsibility of municipalities, which by law have to provide such housing to people in need registered in their jurisdiction. Eligibility criteria seem to differ across municipalities. Some municipalities require, for instance, a minimum amount of time of residence before an immigrant is eligible to apply for social housing. The share of immigrants on waiting lists for social housing in the capital was around 9% in 2018 (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]), although the situation may differ across regions.
At the same time, the rental market is tight (Government of Iceland, 2023[78]), which especially affects immigrants, who tend to be renters (Figure 2.29). This is particularly the case in smaller municipalities since most dwellings there are privately owned and not available for rent. In some cases, immigrants rent accommodation provided by their employers. According to the latest government Action Policy Plan on Immigration Issues (see above), studies focusing on the situation of immigrants in the housing market indicate scope to reduce vulnerability in this area, including in terms of housing insecurity (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]).
Poor quality housing conditions for immigrant adds to challenges. It is more common for immigrants than for natives to live in overcrowded dwellings. Statistics Iceland estimated, for instance, that the share of immigrants living in overcrowded dwelling ranged between 15% and 33% over the period 2008 to 2016, compared to 6% to 7% in the case of natives. Eurostat estimates point in the same direction (Figure 2.32). At the same time the overcrowding rate among immigrants in Iceland is below the EU average.
2.7.2. Policies to better accommodate immigrants’ housing needs and help integration
Under current arrangements, low-income households in Iceland are entitled to means-tested housing support, with the same eligibility conditions applying to both immigrants and natives (Box 2.8). Official estimates suggest that around a quarter of the recipients of the housing benefit from the central government in 2022 had a foreign background. A recent working group on housing support schemes commissioned by the government found that housing benefits from the state had reduced the number of housing cost overburdened tenants receiving such benefits by 38% in 2022 (Government of Iceland, 2022[79]).
Box 2.8. Provision of housing support to low-income household
Iceland provides housing support to low-income households through means-tested benefits from the central government and/or municipalities, with the same eligibility conditions applying to both immigrants and natives. Specifically, a means-tested housing benefit (Húsnæðisbætur) is available for low-income tenants that is financed and administered by the central government. The amount of housing benefit increases with the number of dwellers, up to pre-defined income thresholds, and can cover up to 75% of the actual rent. The benefit amounts and annual income threshold were raised in June 2022 as part of the government’s response to contain higher living costs associated with increased inflation, with a further rise in January 2023 in line with the proposals of the working group on housing support scheme (see below). In addition to means-testing, there is also a net wealth test. Save some exceptions, a household is not eligible for housing benefits if it is renting housing that is registered for commercial use. There is also a housing benefit scheme available for homeowners in the form of interest rebates to offset mortgage payments.
As of 2017 all municipalities are required by law to provide special housing support, although the amounts and eligibility conditions differ across municipalities. Such support is provided to those in difficult financial and/or social circumstances, although some municipalities target low-income households (by applying the same income thresholds as the central government´s housing benefit scheme) rather than households in difficult financial circumstances. In 2020, 60 out of 72 municipalities had established rules for the provision of special housing support, with 28 municipalities conditioning such support on applicants’ social situation.
Local governments further provide municipal financial assistance (Fjárhagsaðstoð sveitarfélaga) for those without other resources. The benefit is means-tested, with benefit amounts differing across regions and household types. Financial assistance is granted on the basis of monthly decisions and for certain applicants it may be granted for six months at a time. No general absolute duration limit applies, however.
Source: (OECD, 2022[80]); (Government of Iceland, 2022[79]).
There is scope to improve the effectiveness of housing support for low-income households. Public spending on housing allowances as a share of GDP is still relatively low compared to Nordic peers (Figure 2.33). Over 30% of households in the bottom income quantile receive housing allowances in Iceland, above the OECD average, but more than 20% of the housing allowances are allocated to households in the third quantile (Figure 2.33). The share of higher-income households (third quantile) receiving housing support is the largest among the Nordic countries. There is scope to better target housing support on low-income households. The recent working group on housing support schemes (see above) has further proposed to reform housing assistance for tenants by merging the housing benefits provided by the state and special housing support from the municipalities into one support scheme that will be provided by the state and be conditioned solely on the financial situation of the applicants, with no additional requirements related to their social situation (Government of Iceland, 2022[79]). As a follow-up, a new working group has recently been created to make further proposals on such merged housing support scheme for tenants.
Strengthening social and affordable housing is essential. Investment to improve the quality of existing social housing and develop new dwellings can be an effective tool to address the housing needs of the low-income groups, notably immigrants, who usually struggle to afford housing in the private market. As a step forward, the central government and the municipal authorities have signed a framework agreement under which 35 000 new units are to be built over the next ten years. Of these, 30% should be affordable housing and 5% social housing, according to official estimates. This initiative can help to reduce unmet needs for social and affordable housing. Appropriate investment levels need to be ensured following a rigorous assessment of the pending demand for such housing.
There are several options to finance social housing. Funding could come directly from the general government budget or through other channels that could limit budgetary pressures. Iceland’s Housing Fund provides loans to municipalities, companies and associations for the construction and/or purchase of residential housing. In addition, since 2016, the government has granted state capital foundation contributions for the building of affordable rental dwellings (Almennar Ibudir). In recent years, up to 20% of new residential housing units have been built with capital contributions. The latter are repaid into a revolving fund, like in some other countries. Austria and Denmark, for instance, have developed revolving funds as part of a long-term funding strategy for housing which finance the development and maintenance of the social housing stock through a mix of state-guaranteed and market loans (OECD, 2021[81]). It is important that the impact of the government’s capital contributions for the construction and purchase of public rental dwellings be evaluated regularly in terms of sustainable development of social and affordable housing and as well achievement of environmental objectives. Reducing complex planning regulations and administrative barriers to construction is also essential to expand supply of social housing, and more broadly, affordable housing supply (Chapter 1). Empirical OECD analysis highlights the importance of land-use reforms for making housing markets more affordable (Cournède, De Pace and Ziemann, 2020[82]). Recent policy initiatives under the Framework Agreement on Housing between the government and municipalities to reform statutory processes for planning and housing construction are welcome, paving the path for a more responsive housing supply (Government of Iceland, 2022[83]) (Chapter 1).
At the same time, eligibility conditions for social and affordable housing should be harmonized across municipalities to increase transparency and effectiveness. Setting an upper limit for the period on the waiting list for access to social housing could also be considered. In Lithuania, for instance, a municipality will by law have to reimburse the actual rental costs in case it cannot meet its obligation to grant access to social housing by the end of this period (OECD, 2022[84]). It is important, however, to avoid the risk that, when being allocated, a social housing dwelling becomes an obstacle for low-income workers to follow jobs, hindering resource reallocation. Allowing eligibility for social housing to be portable across cities and regions would facilitate residential and hence labour mobility (OECD, 2021[81]).
It is also important to improve immigrants' access to information regarding eligibility to housing allowances and/or social housing. The provision of free legal advice to tenants under the service agreement between the government and National Consumers Association and translation of information (funded by the government) on tenants´ rights and obligations into English and Polish are welcome (Government of Iceland, 2022[6]). Information on the eligibility to housing allowances and/or social housing in a language other than Icelandic is also essential and efforts in this regard should continue as part of a comprehensive strategy towards improving immigrant integration and making the best of immigration.
Table 2.1. Recommendations for addressing the challenges and unleashing the benefits of immigration
Attracting more high-skilled immigrants |
|
---|---|
There is scope to attract more highly skilled immigrants in view of specialist shortages in frontier sectors, notably ICT. The government provides tax incentives to foreign specialists but outcomes are not assessed systematically. Public universities provide free education for all students. The other Nordic countries charge non-EEA students school fees. |
Proceed with the timely implementation of the new provisions for the issuance of work permits for foreign experts. Ensure a swift adoption of the draft bill envisaging an extension of the duration of residence and work permits for foreign experts. Regularly evaluate the effectiveness of the tax incentive scheme for the foreign specialists. Introduce tuition fees for non-EEA public university students. |
Improving the labour market integration of immigrants and refugees who intend to stay |
|
The unemployment rate and overqualification are higher for immigrant workers than for natives, largely reflecting relatively poor command of Icelandic, with room to define more clearly the role and responsibilities of stakeholders in the provision of language training for adult immigrants. |
Make language training for adult immigrants part of a comprehensive approach to immigrant integration, combining it with vocational training, and by involving all partners. Increase the accessibility and flexibility of the language training courses. Ensure coherence of teaching quality standards and introduce student evaluation in language training of adult immigrants to help them improve their learning outcomes. |
Refugee inflows have increased rapidly in recent years. |
Ensure a successful integration of refugees, notably through supporting the rapid acquisition of language skills. |
The skills recognition system is complex and information on recognition requirements and processes difficult to access, discouraging third-country immigrants from applying. |
Ensure clear eligibility rules and well-coordinated procedures for the recognition of foreign qualifications. Ease access to the skills recognition system by establishing a one-stop shop that offers multiple services to immigrants. |
The public sector can serve as an important lever to support immigrants’ integration in the labour market but employs few of them. |
Set indicative targets for the share of immigrants in public employment or new hirings, while developing mechanisms to monitor the outcomes of such policies. |
Participation of immigrants in adult learning remains below that of the natives, with the gap driven by EU immigrants. |
Develop pathways between the validation process of prior learning and education options for immigrants who wish to complete their formal qualification. |
Bridging courses provide the opportunity to immigrants whose qualifications are not equivalent to a domestic degree to train and secure a host-country qualification, but are offered on a case-by-case base rather than through formal programmes. |
Move towards a formal provision of bridging courses for immigrants. |
Enhancing the educational outcomes of immigrants’ children |
|
Immigrant students underperform their native counterparts by a wide margin in reading literacy and have higher upper secondary drop-out rates. |
Implement the Education Policy 2030 measures for students with a diverse linguistic background within the envisaged timeline. Proceed with the implementation of the National Curriculum Guide for Compulsory Schools. |
Participation of immigrant students in vocational education and training (VET) remains low, reflecting weak foundational skills and the low attractiveness of the system. |
Strengthen preparatory programmes through the introduction of pre-apprenticeship schemes to support VET students at risk of dropping out. Make VET more market-relevant by extending work-based learning. |
A comparatively high share of teachers reports a high need for professional development in teaching in a multicultural or multilingual setting. |
Strengthen the diversity-related content of initial teacher education, while better aligning professional development opportunities to teachers’ training needs. |
Meeting the housing needs of immigrants |
|
Immigrants face high housing costs, and the stock of social and affordable housing does not appear to be sufficient to match the needs of an increasing immigrant population. |
Better target housing allowances at low-income households and ensure appropriate investment in social and affordable housing based upon a rigorous assessment of pending demand. |
Note: Key recommendations, featuring in the Executive Summary, are in bold.
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