In 2021, the economy of the LAC region represented about 7% of global gross domestic product (GDP) (OECD, 2023[3]). Most LAC countries were severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and the global economic downturn. GDP plunged by 8.2% in 2020, compared to a decrease of 4.2% in the OECD and 3.2% globally (IMF, 2023[4]).1 High energy prices, repercussions of the economic slowdown in China, a key trading partner of the region, and structural issues affect growth prospects; the region is not expected to resume the high levels of economic growth experienced in the 2000s.
The socio‑economic consequences of COVID‑19 linger, with high levels of poverty and income inequality (OECD et al., 2022[5]). Income levels vary considerably across countries, with Chile, Panama and some Caribbean islands having the highest income levels, and Nicaragua, Honduras and Haiti the lowest. In 2021, average GDP per capita was USD 17 383, less than half the OECD average of USD 43 115 (at 2015 prices and PPP) (Figure 1) (OECD, 2023[3]).
The region’s economy is largely based on activities that use and process natural resources. In 2020, industry2 contributed to 27.7% of value added, compared to an OECD average of 23.9% (OECD, 2023[6]). Manufacturing industries alone accounted for 13% of the LAC region’s GDP (CEPALSTAT, 2023[7]). Automotive and electronics industries (such as large-scale solar panels and televisions) play a key role in large countries such as Brazil and Mexico – the latter having a significant maquila industry associated with the North American Free Trade Agreement and other trade arrangements across Central America.
Mining and energy are important sectors, as the region is endowed with valuable mineral resources and significant oil and natural gas deposits. Venezuela alone owns 24% of the world’s oil reserves (OPEC, 2022[8]) and around 4% of global natural gas reserves (US EIA, 2023[9]). Nevertheless, hydropower is the main source for electricity in the region (54% in 2020) (IEA, 2022[10]). The region has an important copper and lithium production, more than a quarter of the world’s lithium production, with Chile accounting for 26% of the total global mine production in 2020 (USGS, 2022[11]).
Agriculture accounts for a larger share of value added (6.6%) than in OECD countries (1.8%) (OECD, 2023[6]). Fertile soils and mild climates have made it a major economic and social activity. The region’s cash crops include coffee and cacao, as well as industrial crops such as corn, soya and wheat. Grazing animals such a sheep, llamas, alpacas, and vicuñas are bred for meat and for wool that is used in high quality textiles exported worldwide. The Pampa’s vast pastures feed South America’s livestock. Due to the Humboldt current coming from Antarctica, fisheries are an important economic activity along LAC’s Pacific coast and many coastal communities rely on subsistence fisheries. Catch volumes are, however, declining due to over-fishing and unsustainable resource management that led to the depletion of many fish populations. Forestry is a major economic activity in the Amazon River basin and the south of Chile, which is an important exporter of wood chips, plywood and paper pulp. Timber production from naturally regenerating forests (non-cultivated timber extraction) is increasing as a source of income growth in several countries such as Brazil and Chile.
Trade plays an important role with exports and imports accounting for 27% and 28% of GDP respectively in 2021. Main exports include petroleum, ores, soya beans and motor vehicles, that together account for more than a fourth of total exports. Main imports are intermediate goods (65%). This reflects the region’s strong industrial base that is however concentred in a few large countries (CEPALSTAT, 2023[7]).
Tourism generates significant income, particularly in Central America and the Caribbean. In 2018, inbound tourism expenditure contributed to more than half of GDP in Caribbean islands such as Turks and Caicos (77%), Aruba (72%), Antigua and Barbuda (60%), Montserrat (55%) and Saint Lucia (51%). In Central America, the highest shares are found in Belize (25%), followed by Panama (11%), Costa Rica (6%), El Salvador (5%) and Nicaragua (4%). South America derives less than 5% of its GDP from tourism (CEPALSTAT / WTO, 2022[12]).
Most LAC countries base their economic development on natural resources or ecosystem services. Therefore, the region is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Impacts associated with climate-related hazards will have serious consequences for activities such as agriculture, tourism, forestry, fisheries and hydroelectric capacity. Furthermore, given the high dependence of some economies on fossil fuels and manufacturing, the expected energy transition will also have a significant impact, particularly in countries such as Venezuela, Ecuador and Colombia, that are dependent on fossil fuel exports, and in Central American countries that are dependent on the maquila industry.