Tight quarantine, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, started in March 2020 with a de facto ban on the operation of a significant part of economic activities. This led to a reduction in household incomes and corporate profits, as well as a deterioration in consumer and business sentiment. Uncertainty about the further development of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decrease in public consumption, the suspension of certain investment projects and a deep decline in all economic activities. According to the results of the second quarter of 2020, real GDP decreased significantly by 11.2%
Against this backdrop, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) made considerable efforts to support the business and banking sectors of Ukraine. Its activities primarily aimed at:
Reducing the cost of financing for businesses, households and the government;
Maintaining liquidity and expanding the resource potential of banks;
Providing stimulus for financial institutions to expand lending;
Stabilising the foreign exchange market;
Anchoring inflation expectations.
The volume of corporate lending in 2020 was moderate, with heterogeneous dynamics. As a result of the pandemic, the demand for loans by enterprises declined and the financial conditions of borrowers started to deteriorate.
In order to reduce the negative effects of the crisis on the loan portfolio, the NBU encouraged banks to restructure the loans of bona fide debtors who had experienced difficulties because of the pandemic. Small enterprises remained the most vulnerable to the effects of the COVID-19 crisis in 2020. To support them, the government introduced government programmes that provided partial interest rate compensation and government loan guarantees. These measures and the gradual recovery of the economy contributed to the gradual revival of corporate lending in the final part of 2020.
Therefore, following a reduction in the corporate loan volume in the first half of the year, business loans in the national currency (hryvnia, UAH) increased in the second half of the year. Overall, net UAH business loans increased by 4.3% in 2020. Net foreign currency loans decreased by 11.1% year-on-year in USD terms.
Retail lending slowed sharply in 2020. The net UAH loan portfolio of individuals grew by 5.5% over the year, against a 30% increase in 2019. This was mostly the result of falling demand for certain categories of consumer goods and uncertainty about the dynamics of household incomes during the COVID-19 crisis.
The Ukrainian financial sector remains bank-centric: the share of non-bank financial institutions in the assets of the financial sector is still moderate, and in 2020 it declined due to slightly lower growth rates compared to bank assets.
In July 2020, the government introduced a “split” reform whereby the non-banking financial market was redistributed between the two regulators: the National Bank of Ukraine and the National Securities and Stock Market Commission. This should increase the transparency of the sector, eliminate the possibility of regulatory arbitrage and create a system of proportional regulation of the non-banking market.
In 2020, new SMEs loans accounted for 31% of total new business lending, showing a 2% drop compared to the previous year. As SMEs were the most vulnerable segment of the COVID-19 pandemic, the government introduced state programs, aimed for partial interest rate compensation and state loan guarantees. These actions and gradual recovery of the economy contributed to moderate revival of corporate lending. Thus, following a reduction of the corporate portfolio in the first half of 2020, in the second half hryvnia’s business loans increased. For the whole year, total net hryvnia business loans grew up by 4.3%. Banks with a foreign and private capital provided loans at a dynamic pace, namely 15% y-o-y. At the same time, currency loans decreased by 11.1% y-o-y in dollar equivalent.
An important state credit programme, called "Affordable Loans 5-7-9%", was introduced at the initiative of the President of Ukraine in order to facilitate the access of micro and small businesses to bank lending. The aim of the programme is to strengthen the competitiveness of Ukrainian micro and small businesses, create new jobs, and help migrant workers return to Ukraine. The programme is implemented by the Entrepreneurship Development Fund (formerly the German-Ukrainian Fund), established under the Ministry of Finance, through a network of partner banks together with the Ministry of Economy and the SME Development Office. The programme, as the name suggests, is characterised by the offer of loans with three different interest rates: 5%, 7% and 9%. As of the end of May 2021, the programme had disbursed 17 037 loans totalling UAH 43 955 million through 30 partner banks.