According to the preliminary data of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, at the end of 2021, 892 106 enterprises operated in Hungary, 99,89% of which (891 137 enterprises) qualified as SMEs. Hungarian SMEs make up 75% of the total employment and generate61% of the value added.
The COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020 and have created a protracted international crisis situation, which is having impact on the Hungarian economic ecosystem. The rapid economic growth before the coronavirus crisis was ended by a sharp downturn, from which a rapid recovery took place by the second part of 2021 (KSH, 2023).
In February of 2022, the large-scale aggression of Russia against Ukraine escalated in the region vicinity , causing another crisis for the Hungarian economy. As a result of the war, SMEs have to deal with drastically increased energy costs, shortages of basic and raw materials, rising transport costs, regulatory changes, and value chain disruptions. The energy bill increased from EUR 6.8 billion to EUR 16.6 billion.
In 2022, even under such unforeseen circumstances, the level of employment activity and the dynamics of the economy were maintained. The unemployment rate fell to 3.6% compared to 6.2% in the EU. Peak employment was registered in September, with 4.7 million: people employed, which represented an increase of 60,000 people compared to the same period in the previous year and exceeds the employment level in 2019 before the outbreak of COVID (KSH, 2023).
The gross investment rate of non-financial corporations, which is the gross fixed capital formation divided by gross value added in 2021 and 2022 was between 33% and 35%, which is high compared to the values of other EU member states (Eurostat, 2023). In 2022, a record amount of EUR 7 billion of foreign capital (FDI) flowed into the country, and it is estimated to reach up to EUR 10 billion in 2023.
In Hungary, GDP per capita, calculated at purchasing power parity, has increased in recent years. The level of the indicator in the year of the Hungarian accession was 62.8%of the average of the future EU-27 countries, which rose to 75%in 2021, and continued to move closer to the EU average in 2022 (77%) (Eurostat, 2023).
Against all the negative effects that were caused by Russia’s agression against Ukraine the energy crisis and the significant increase in inflation, not experienced for decades, the Hungarian GDP grew by 4.6% in 2022. This value meant a 1.2 percentage point higher growth than the EU’s average (Eurostat, 2023).
Growth was supported by strong performance in the construction sector, expanding retail sales, and the strong performance of the majority of service sectors.
The stock of foreign direct investment capital in Hungary peaked according to the Global Innovation Index Report. The net FDI inflows in ratio of the GDP increased to 61% by the end of 2022, which is a strongvalue in the European Union. (Global Innovation Index Report, 2023).
The 14% annual growth rate of Hungarian banks’ outstanding corporate loans was the fourth highest when compared to other EU countries. Based on preliminary data, outstanding loans to the micro, small and medium-sized enterprise segment expanded by 13% year on year, with significant continued support from the Széchenyi Card Programme (SCP). The average interest rate on market-based corporate loans was generally in line with the rise in interest rates. In 2022 the interest rate was 10,99 % for SMEs and 11,18 for large firms.
A rise in demand for foreign currency loans as well as for short-term loans was seen in this period.
Central banks reacted to the high inflation caused by the war with high interest rates, which had a negative impact on corporate lending. The high interest rates dried up credit markets and justified targeted, stimulative lending by the state. The Government's Széchenyi Card Programme MAX+ and the Baross Gábor Loan Programme supported the SME sector's access to credit financing through state-subsidised loan and guarantee schemes. The state-subsidised loan schemes are typically available at an annual interest rate of 5-6%, while market loans can have interest rates of up to 20%. As part of the fight against soaring interest rates and energy prices, the Government introduced an interest freeze on retail loans, which could help more than 60 000 SMEs. The interest freeze was implemented on November 2022 until December 2023.
Overall, the data suggests a mixed picture for the private equity and venture capital market in Hungary. While there was a decline in the total number of companies receiving investments (from 255 in 2021 to 198 in 2022), there was a significant increase in the total investment amount (from EUR 174.5 million in 2021 to EUR 220.1 million in 2022). The substantial increase in total investment suggests that despite the decrease in the number of companies, there was a focus on backing high-potential companies and making larger investments. This is especially notable in the buyout category, where the investment amount increased significantly from EUR 18.129 million in 2021 to EUR 63.076 million in 2022 (HVCA, 2023).
The growth in start-up investments and VC-backed growth capital also indicates continued interest in supporting early-stage and scaling companies in Hungary. This suggests that investors and venture capitalists are still optimistic about the potential for growth and innovation within the start-up ecosystem. Additionally, the decrease in the number of companies receiving investments could be reflective of a more selective investment approach or consolidation within the market.
A decrease in new funds raised may indicate a potential slowdown in private equity and venture capital activity within the country. It could suggest a decrease in investor confidence or reduced interest in funding startups and growth-stage companies.
The National Capital Holding was registered in November 2022 and started its operations on 1 January 2023. It oversees the operation of the Holding’s funds: the MFB Invest Zrt., the EXIM Invest Zrt. and their subsidiaries and implements new economic stimulative programmes such as the Baross Gábor Capital Programme (NTH, 2023).