The Japanese population, the longest-lived in the OECD, is undergoing a profound transformation. Japan’s birth rate has been falling; based on OECD projections by 2050 36.4% of Japan’s population will be over 65, and 15.0% over 80, making Japan’s population older than that of all other OECD countries. In some ways, Japan’s public health challenges are unlike those of other OECD countries. Japan’s obesity rate is the lowest in the OECD (23.8% of the population was overweight or obese in 2015, compared to the OECD average of 53.9%), the rate of smoking is slightly below the OECD average (18.3% of the population were daily smokers in 2015, compared to the OECD average of 18.5), and alcohol consumption is well below the OECD average. In many other respects, though, the health challenges that Japan is facing are very familiar: in particular, a rising burden of chronic disease, and a rising number of frail and elderly persons. In addition, Japan faces some relatively unique public health risks, notably a significant exposure to natural hazards such as earthquakes, floods, typhoons, and tsunamis. In some instances, these risks have intersected – for example the frail elderly have been particularly affected by some natural hazards.
The policy priority in Japan is not just to maintain the impressive life expectancy, but to improve healthy life expectancy. Japan’s primary prevention strategy – Health Japan 21 (HJ21) – is squarely focused on improving healthy habits, including increasing vegetable and fruit consumption, reducing salt consumption, reducing smoking and alcohol consumption, and improving mental wellbeing. Japan’s extensive health check-ups – the main pillar of secondary prevention efforts – aim to detect disease and disease risk as early as possible, and direct individuals towards treatment or advice on behaviour change.
However, in both Japan’s approaches to primary and secondary prevention, Japan has taken a very broad policy approach, rather than focusing on target areas or populations. While the aim of both HJ21 and Japan’s health check-ups is to reach as much of the population as possible, there is a risk that the policies are too diffuse and not provoking behaviour change amongst the most high-risk population. In addition, the implementation of HJ21 and of health checks, are somewhat fragmented. HJ21 is primarily implemented by local governments, who can choose which areas to focus on from a very wide range of targets. While this strategy can mean that local polices are adapted to local needs, the risk is that local approaches are uneven in their quality, comprehensiveness, and population coverage. Health check-ups, too, are implemented by a wide range of actors including local governments, schools, workplaces, and health care providers. Employers and occupational physicians are expected to play a significant role in assuring health but it is not clear that appropriate provisions are made for those outside of school or full-time employment.
Furthermore, the central government has relatively weak leavers for checking that minimum standards for prevention and promotion policies are met by municipalities – the Ministry relies on written reports by municipalities – and even weaker levers to enforce priority policies. While in some instances local level governments – municipalities, prefectures – might be excellent, an overall picture of the competency of local government and the degree to which local government is introducing effective and evidence-based policies is unclear.
When it comes to public health emergencies, clear strengths as well as some areas for further improvement can be found. Japan is vulnerable to hazards, and in particular to natural disasters, but has long-made preparedness for public health emergencies a key priority, both internationally and at the domestic level. When it comes to responses to public health emergencies, too, the central government sets the strategic direction but most implementation is primarily the responsibility of the local level. While the responsibility of municipalities to determine local policies is a key feature of the Japanese governance structure, it is nonetheless hard to assess whether the whole country is well prepared for a public health emergency since a detailed picture of the preparedness of each municipality does not appear to be easily available.
The priority for Japan, if the goal of extending healthy life expectancy is to be realised while assuring the sustainability of its health system, is streamlining policies and focusing on high-impact, good-value, and well-implemented interventions that reach the target population. For HJ21 there is scope to select a smaller number of priority areas, based on their impact on overall population health and the availability of effective interventions. Successes in these priority areas could then be used as a springboard for other issues. Japan could also consider ways to better target high-risk groups, especially groups that might sit outside key target groups for delivering public health interventions, for instance unemployed or retired populations. Additional population-level policies could help Japan achieve its HJ21 targets, especially around tobacco and healthy diets. For example, restrictions on smoking in public places could be further strengthened, and more comprehensive, legally binding tobacco marketing restrictions could be introduced. When it comes to health check-ups, this is a particularly congested field. Focusing on improving the quality and reach of a smaller number of targeted screenings could bring greater population benefits, and potentially better value-for money. Policy impact would also be helped by more joined-up governance; better communication, exchange of ideas, and collaboration between different levels of government – both vertically between central and local levels, and horizontally across Ministries and sectors – could strengthen public health policy approaches across the board.