Due to a lack of data, until 2014 Figure 2 represents only two support measures targeted at household consumers. One of these measures was the Reduced Energy Duty for Combined Heat and Power Generation. Customers of district heating paid a reduced duty for heat delivered from plants that combined heat and electricity generation, which use less energy than if they were produced separately. However, the Ministry of Taxation has ceased to consider such measure a tax expenditure with revenue foregone estimates absents since 2015. The second measure was the Reduced Energy Duty for Diesel Fuel which saw a significant decline, from DNK 5.7 billion in 2014 to DNK 1.5 billion in 2020, forming the bulk of the significant declines seen in Figure 2.
Since 2017, however, more support measures have become available. These include energy duty exemptions for fuels used for transportation in commercial contexts including shipping, aviation, train and commuting. Furthermore, data on tax deductions have become available, such as deduction of CO2 and SO2 tax for particular companies. Lastly, data on support for exploration and extraction companies has become available. This includes hydrocarbon tax allowances, state investments in rebuilding gas platforms as well as research funds for oil- and gas exploration and exploitation. In 2020, a new agreement was made to close down Danish exploration and extraction by 2050.
In 2017, Denmark joined a coalition of countries committing to phase out coal by 2030 with increasing support seen on programmes such as ”Fossil Fuel Subsidy ― Swap” encouraging the switch from ‘brown’ fossil fuels subsidies to ‘green’ funding in energy efficiency and renewable energy. Consequently, the last major power plants running on coal located in Esbjerg, Odense and Aalborg have accelerated their target phase out date to 2023, 2025 and 2028, respectively.
COVID-19 has led to large fluctuations in the fossil fuels market, with record falls in oil prices and low energy consumption due to the mobility restrictions brought on by the pandemic. Meanwhile, the government’s COVID-19 recovery measures have not been designed to directly benefit fossil fuel interests.
The rising energy prices in the wake of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, however, led the Danish government to implement new measures supporting the consumption of fossil fuels. A reduction of the electricity tax has been implemented in 2022 and is meant to be pursued in 2023. Moreover, the Danish government also supported the most affected households – through both a geographical and an income condition – via the allowance of an energy cheque. Both measures are temporary.
The fiscal cost of support measures for fossil fuels in Denmark was estimated at DKK 11.15 billion in 2022 (Table 1). Eighty-two per cent (82%) was directed at end user beneficiaries, as opposed to 17% directed to firms. Support was mainly given out in the form of tax expenditures (DKK 10.18 billion) accounting for 91% of the total fiscal cost of support measures. Direct transfers amounted to DKK 0.96 billion.
The fiscal cost of support measures for fossil fuels has increased by 46% since 2017. Since last year, tax expenditures have increased by 8%, from DKK 9.43 billion to DKK 10.18 billion and direct transfers increased by %, from DKK 0.00 billion to DKK 0.96 billion. All growth rate percentages above are expressed in terms of nominal national currency amounts.