Japan is amongst the world leaders in energy research and development, with direct public spending on energy research as a percentage of its GDP being one of the largest amongst OECD countries. Recent boosts in research funding were seen after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, particularly on developing technologies relating to the extraction of natural gas from frozen methane hydrate in Japan’s Nankai Trough. Besides scientific research, the government is also providing direct and indirect funding in support of Japanese companies participating in fossil-fuel exploration projects overseas particularly with natural gas, a fuel whose role has increasingly grown following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear accident. Furthermore, since 2011, the government has provided financing for investments aimed at increasing the efficiency of the oil refining and distribution segments.
For these reasons, almost the entirety of Japan’s tabulated support benefits the oil and gas production sector, mostly aimed on research and development funding for fossil-fuel exploration projects destined overseas.
During 2020, as part of METI’s broader support measures for companies concerning the impact of COVID-19, the government enacted an order for gas and electricity companies to implement a flexible grace period for the settlement of electricity and natural gas bills and for the temporary cessation of service disconnection to affected customers due to bill settlement difficulties during the COVID-19 State of Emergency. With the closure of nuclear plants, the bulk of Japan’s electricity mix now originates from fossil fuels, chiefly from natural gas fired power plants.
During FY 2021, Japan’s total support estimate significantly increased by 49% in comparison to 2020, as new consumer subsidy was implemented, and economies opened after the COVID-19 pandemic. The increases were driven by upsurges in support to:
exploration activities to secure sustainable fossil fuel supply by supporting exploration projects conducted by Japanese companies in resource-rich countries overseas.
support to government-operated petroleum stockpiling infrastructure to ensure oil supply security.
a new non-targeted universal consumer support to petroleum products at the pump in response to spiking oil prices post-covid recovery exacerbated by the Ukrainian crisis. The subsidy, administered as a discount per litre, has continuously increased, starting at JPY 5/litre when the measure started in January 2022 to JPY 25/litre in April 2022, coinciding with the volatile weakening of the Japanese currency against the US dollar. The temporary measure has been extended three times and was expected to conclude in December 2022, however, in the Spring of 2023, it reached nearly JPY 32/litre and as of this writing is still in effect at just under JYP 20/litre The subsidy is currently expected to conclude in April 2024.
In 2022, to mitigate energy prices resulting from the global energy crisis the government introduced new measures, namely subsidies to mitigate fuel, gas, and electricity prices. For example, a subsidy provided for wholesale energy distributers to limit retail price increases of gasoline, diesel oil, kerosene, fuel oil and aircraft fuel was JPY 33 per litre (and half of the amount exceeding JPY 33) as of 30 January 2023. The support rate is planned to be gradually reduced.
The fiscal cost of support measures for fossil fuels in Japan was estimated at JPY 3907.20 billion in 2022 (Table 1). Zero per cent (0%) was directed at end user beneficiaries, as opposed to 100% directed to firms. Support was mainly given out in the form of direct transfers (JPY 3871.00 billion) accounting for 99% of the total fiscal cost of support measures. Tax expenditures amounted to JPY 36.20 billion.
The fiscal cost of support measures for fossil fuels has increased by 1197% since 2017. Since last year, tax expenditures have by 0%, from JPY 36.20 billion to JPY 36.20 billion and direct transfers increased by 1811%, from JPY 246.47 billion to JPY 3871.00 billion. All growth rate percentages above are expressed in terms of nominal national currency amounts.