China released its No.1 Central Document for 2023 in mid-February 2023, focusing on continued rural revitalisation. The No.1 Central Document calls for more effort to stabilise production and ensure the supply of grain and key agricultural products, boost the construction of agricultural infrastructure, strengthen support for agricultural science, technology and equipment, reduce rural poverty, and to promote the development of rural industries.
Food security remains a top priority. The 2023 No.1 Central Document reiterates the objective for an annual production of grains of at least 650 million tonnes. It also prioritises increasing maize yields, expanding the soybean cultivated area, and reducing soybean meal usage. The document highlights the need for:
regulation and supervision of state grain reserves
international trade partner diversification
infrastructure development related to soil and water conservation and disaster and animal disease prevention
technological innovation, including biotechnology, to improve seeds and agricultural machinery
promoting “green agricultural development”. In this sense, it notes for the first time in a key policy document the need to “establish a monitoring system for agri-environmental protection” and to “issue regulations on compensation for ecological protection”.
Early March 2022, China allocated CNY 1.6 billion (USD 253 million) to promote winter wheat cultivation in the five main producing regions as well as other regions that were most recently affected by delayed planting caused by heavy rainfall. At the end of March 2022, the Ministry of Finance allocated another CNY 2 billion (USD 315 million) to support the cultivation of its winter wheat crop in 11 main production provinces.
In April 2022, China suspended wheat auctions one month earlier than in 2021 due to tighter supplies. In 2022, it released overall 0.5 million tonnes of wheat per week from reserves in weekly auctions, compared with 4 million tonnes per week in 2021. In March 2023, China restarted auctions of old rice crop stocks for feed use to rotate out older stocks, to provide alternatives to maize as feed grain supplies remain tight, and to temper rising feed grain prices. The estimated volume of old stock rice to be auctioned is of 18 million tonnes, less than half the amount on offer in 2021 and 2022. The grain state-owned enterprise Sinograin announced it plans to increase its grain storage capacity by 30 million tonnes from 2021 to 2023, boosting the company’s capacity by one-third. Moreover, in September 2022, China instructed farmers to reduce the soybean use in animal feed by 30 million tonnes, or opt for other feeding alternatives, to reduce pressure on soybean import costs and curb inflation.
The State Council approved for 2022 an increase in the minimum support price (MSP) for wheat by CNY 40 (USD 6.3). This is consistent with increases in MSPs for wheat since the COVID-19 pandemic, in support of domestic grain production.
In July 2022, to assist ginners holding high-priced inventories, China initiated a purchase plan of cotton produced in Xinjiang for state reserves. As of August 2022, the government purchased 45% of the quantity available.
In September 2022, the NDRC implemented a programme releasing 200 000 tonnes of pig meat from national, provincial, and municipal level reserves with the objective to stabilise pig meat prices. Since 8 September 2022, the NDRC auctioned more than 127 000 tonnes of frozen pig meat reserves at the national level.
In June 2022, the provincial government of Yunnan issued a three-year plan (covering 2022-24) to modernise its agri-food industry. For sugar, the plan foresees maintaining Yunnan’s sugar cane acreage at around 3.5 million mu (233 333 hectares), achieving sugar cane production of 17 million tonnes, and achieving a sugar production of 2.5 million tonnes by 2024. Various support programmes are provided for inputs such as seeds and mechanical equipment, as well as for sugar cane millers to increase profitability by enhancing the use of by-products. In September 2022, the provincial government of Guangxi announced continuing the three-year programme introduced in 2020 providing subsidies to sugar cane planting and harvesting, seed development, field management, pest and disease control. The programme will also provide support to crop insurance, sugar futures trading, as well as sugar cane transportation and sugar processing.
In August 2022, China issued a national drought emergency plan as record temperatures and low water levels affected the region spanning much of the Yangtze River, with Sichuan, Chongqing, Hubei and Jiangxi provinces reporting severe impacts. Although none of the affected regions are major soybean producing areas, the extreme heat and drought are expected to lower soybean yields. On 16 August 2022, MARA allocated CNY 300 million (USD 44 million) to 13 provinces as agricultural production disaster relief funds to facilitate flood control and drought relief.
The Agricultural Development Bank of China issued CNY 2.14 trillion (USD 297 billion) of loans in the first three quarters of 2022. This includes loans for the purchase of summer and autumn grains seeds, seed developments and upgrade of farmlands.